Eredivisie
For SittardFor SittardWDDWD
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1115:30UK
TelstarTelstarLDLLW

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score10.9%
2-1 correct score8.8%
1-2 correct score7.8%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 10.9%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = For Sittard goals, columns = Telstar goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-110.9%
  2. 2-18.8%
  3. 1-27.8%
  4. 2-26.6%
  5. 1-06.4%
  6. 2-05.9%
  7. 0-15.6%
  8. 3-15.0%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6% 5.6% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.4% 10.9% 7.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.8% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.3% 5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: For Sittard · Columns: Telstar

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.6%

0

12.0%

1

21.3%

2

22.2%

3

17.8%

4

20.8%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

For SittardFor SittardLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 1-1

2 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses

TelstarTelstarLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 3-4
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 4-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1For SittardFor Sittard wins
0Draws
1TelstarTelstar wins
4.5Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
For SittardFor Sittard
1 – 4
TelstarTelstar
TelstarTelstar
1 – 3
For SittardFor Sittard

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0102Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,177Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 10.9% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: For Sittard have averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded, Telstar 2.2 and 2.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 62.1% for over 2.5 and 83.5% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 4.5 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 62.1% for three or more goals and 83.5% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With For Sittard favoured at 42.1%, a competitive game tends to open up.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

42.1%Favoured: For Sittard
64.1%Both Teams to Score
62.1%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 62.1% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutFor Sittard are the model’s pick on the result at 42.1%, context for how the goals may flow.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in For Sittard vs Telstar?
The model's most likely scoreline for For Sittard vs Telstar is 1-1 at 10.9%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Eredivisie, Correct Score

Correct score predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.