Süper Lig
EyupsporEyupsporLLLLL
Full time0-1Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1011:30UK
KasimpasaKasimpasaDWDLW

Eyupspor 0-1 Kasimpasa corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56.2%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined43.8%

Result

Eyupspor0-1Kasimpasa
11 cornersEyupspor 6, Kasimpasa 5
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 56.2% and it missed (11 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners43.8%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Eyupspor.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 68.5% 31.5%
8.5 corners 56.2% 43.8%
9.5 corners 43.8% 56.2%
10.5 corners 32.5% 67.5%
11.5 corners 22.9% 77.1%
12.5 corners 15.4% 84.7%

Who wins the corner count

Eyupspor
52.7%
Level
11.0%
Kasimpasa
36.3%

Team corners lines

Eyupspor

Over 3.5
69.6%
Over 4.5
53.6%
Over 5.5
38.3%

Kasimpasa

Over 3.5
58.2%
Over 4.5
41.0%
Over 5.5
26.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Eyupspor's; Kasimpasa gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Eyupspor line Eyupspor Kasimpasa
-1.5 41.5% 58.5%
-0.5 52.7% 47.3%
+0.5 63.7% 36.3%
+1.5 73.6% 26.4%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 43.8%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 68.5% for over 7.5 to 15.4% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 43.8%. Between the two sides, Eyupspor are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.7%, with a level count at 11.0%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Eyupspor over 4.5 corners sits at 53.6% and Kasimpasa at 41.0%. This season Eyupspor have averaged 4.0 corners won a game and Kasimpasa 3.4.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

43.8%Over 9.5 corners
52.7%Most corners: Eyupspor
53.6%Eyupspor over 4.5 corners
41.0%Kasimpasa over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 43.8% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderEyupspor are the pick to win the corner count at 52.7%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 43.8%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
EyupsporEyupspor

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

KasimpasaKasimpasa
Statistic
Eyupspor
Kasimpasa
corners won per game
4.0
3.4

corners conceded per game
5.0
7.8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 43.8% for Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa.
Which team will win the corner count in Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa?
Before kickoff, the model rated Eyupspor to win the corner count at 52.7%, with a level count at 11.0%.
How many corners do Eyupspor and Kasimpasa average this season?
Eyupspor have won 4.0 corners a game this season and Kasimpasa 3.4.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Süper Lig, Corners

Corner predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.