AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Süper Lig
KonyasporKonyasporWDDLW
Fri, 30 Oct 202630/1017:00UK
GalatasarayGalatasarayWLWWW

Konyaspor vs Galatasaray corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined53.7%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined46.3%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners46.3%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Konyaspor.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 70.6% 29.4%
8.5 corners 58.6% 41.4%
9.5 corners 46.3% 53.7%
10.5 corners 34.8% 65.2%
11.5 corners 24.9% 75.1%
12.5 corners 17.0% 83.0%

Who wins the corner count

Konyaspor
48.7%
Level
11.0%
Galatasaray
40.3%

Team corners lines

Konyaspor

Over 3.5
68.5%
Over 4.5
52.3%
Over 5.5
37.0%

Galatasaray

Over 3.5
62.8%
Over 4.5
45.8%
Over 5.5
30.9%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Konyaspor's; Galatasaray gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Konyaspor line Konyaspor Galatasaray
-1.5 37.9% 62.2%
-0.5 48.7% 51.3%
+0.5 59.7% 40.3%
+1.5 70.0% 30.0%
KonyasporKonyaspor

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Konyaspor at home and Galatasaray away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

GalatasarayGalatasaray
Statistic
Konyaspor
Galatasaray
Corners won per game at this venue
3.4
5.5

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.2
4.5

First-half corners won per game
1.4
3.6

Second-half corners won per game
1.8
3.9

Matches with more corners than the opponent
11.1%
75.0%

Matches with corner data
9
8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 46.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 70.6% for over 7.5 to 17.0% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.3%. On the corner count, Konyaspor are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 48.7%, with a level count at 11.0%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Konyaspor over 4.5 corners sits at 52.3% and Galatasaray at 45.8%. This season Konyaspor have averaged 3.2 corners won a game and Galatasaray 7.5.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

46.3%Over 9.5 corners
48.7%Most corners: Konyaspor
52.3%Konyaspor over 4.5 corners
45.8%Galatasaray over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 46.3% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderKonyaspor are the pick to win the corner count at 48.7%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 46.3%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
KonyasporKonyaspor

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

GalatasarayGalatasaray
Statistic
Konyaspor
Galatasaray
corners won per game
3.2
7.5

corners conceded per game
5.6
3.1

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Konyaspor vs Galatasaray?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 46.3% for Konyaspor vs Galatasaray.
Which team will win the corner count in Konyaspor vs Galatasaray?
The model rates Konyaspor to win the corner count at 48.7%, with a level count at 11.0%.
How many corners do Konyaspor and Galatasaray average this season?
Konyaspor have won 3.2 corners a game this season and Galatasaray 7.5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Süper Lig, Corners

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Corner predictions today

Related

Süper LigKonyaspor fixtures and statsGalatasaray fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.