AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Süper Lig
ErzurumsporErzurumsporLWDWW
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1010:30UK
CorumCorumWLWWL

Erzurumspor vs Corum corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined54.6%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined45.4%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners45.4%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Erzurumspor.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 69.9% 30.2%
8.5 corners 57.8% 42.2%
9.5 corners 45.4% 54.6%
10.5 corners 34.0% 66.0%
11.5 corners 24.2% 75.9%
12.5 corners 16.4% 83.7%

Who wins the corner count

Erzurumspor
54.9%
Level
10.8%
Corum
34.3%

Team corners lines

Erzurumspor

Over 3.5
71.7%
Over 4.5
56.2%
Over 5.5
40.9%

Corum

Over 3.5
57.6%
Over 4.5
40.3%
Over 5.5
25.9%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Erzurumspor's; Corum gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Erzurumspor line Erzurumspor Corum
-1.5 43.9% 56.2%
-0.5 54.9% 45.1%
+0.5 65.7% 34.3%
+1.5 75.3% 24.7%
ErzurumsporErzurumspor

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Erzurumspor at home and Corum away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

CorumCorum
Statistic
Erzurumspor
Corum
Corners won per game at this venue
3.0
3.4

Corners conceded per game at this venue
3.0
7.0

First-half corners won per game
1.2
1.9

Second-half corners won per game
1.8
2.2

Matches with more corners than the opponent
33.3%
33.3%

Matches with corner data
9
9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 45.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 69.9% for over 7.5 to 16.4% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.4%. Between the two sides, Erzurumspor are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.9%, with a level count at 10.8%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Erzurumspor over 4.5 corners sits at 56.2% and Corum at 40.3%. This season Erzurumspor have averaged 3.0 corners won a game and Corum 4.1.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

45.4%Over 9.5 corners
54.9%Most corners: Erzurumspor
56.2%Erzurumspor over 4.5 corners
40.3%Corum over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 45.4% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderErzurumspor are the pick to win the corner count at 54.9%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 45.4%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
ErzurumsporErzurumspor

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

CorumCorum
Statistic
Erzurumspor
Corum
corners won per game
3.0
4.1

corners conceded per game
4.3
5.4

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Erzurumspor vs Corum?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 45.4% for Erzurumspor vs Corum.
Which team will win the corner count in Erzurumspor vs Corum?
The model rates Erzurumspor to win the corner count at 54.9%, with a level count at 10.8%.
How many corners do Erzurumspor and Corum average this season?
Erzurumspor have won 3.0 corners a game this season and Corum 4.1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Süper LigErzurumspor fixtures and statsCorum fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.