Süper Lig
Eyupspor vs 
Goztep Cards
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 3.5 cards at 64.6%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 81.8% for over 2.5 to 28.5% for over 5.5, with over 4.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.4%. On the card count, Goztep are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 43.8%, with a level count at 19.5%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Cards (bookings)
Total cards, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 cards | 81.8% | 18.2% |
| 3.5 cards | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| 4.5 cards | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| 5.5 cards | 28.5% | 71.5% |
Who picks up more cards
Team card lines
62.5%
35.5%
67.2%
40.7%
Card handicap
| Eyupspor line | Eyupspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 20.3% | 79.7% |
| -0.5 | 36.7% | 63.3% |
| +0.5 | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| +1.5 | 74.1% | 25.9% |
Red card
Fouls
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5 fouls | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| 22.5 fouls | 75.4% | 24.6% |
| 24.5 fouls | 62.0% | 38.0% |
This season (2026/27)
1.8Eyupspor cards per game12.7Eyupspor fouls per game2.8Goztep cards per game13.8Goztep fouls per gameBookings are a lower-liquidity market, so calibration matters most here, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Eyupspor vs Goztep. The model leans toward Goztep for the most cards.
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
64.6%Over 3.5 cards24.6%Any red card62.5%Eyupspor over 1.5 cards67.2%Goztep over 1.5 cards75.4%Over 22.5 foulsBy team, Eyupspor over 1.5 cards sits at 62.5% and Goztep at 67.2%. A red card for either side is rated at 24.6% (Eyupspor 13.1%, Goztep 13.2%). This season Eyupspor have averaged 1.8 cards a game and Goztep 2.8.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many cards in Eyupspor vs Goztep?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 64.6% for Eyupspor vs Goztep.
Will there be a red card in Eyupspor vs Goztep?
The model rates a red card for either side at 24.6%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Eyupspor vs Goztep?
The model rates Goztep to pick up more cards at 43.8%, with a level count at 19.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Cards accuracy
How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 10,143 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Cards actually happened 65.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Cards calls
Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Süper Lig, Cards
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
