Süper Lig
Eyupspor vs 
Goztep Shots
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 24.5 shots at 57.3%, its strongest read on the Shots market. Across the lines, the model goes from 69.0% for over 22.5 to 34.1% for over 28.5, with over 26.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.4%. Between the two sides, Eyupspor are the model’s pick to have more shots at 60.3%, with a level count at 5.7%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Shots
Total shots, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5 shots | 69.0% | 31.1% |
| 24.5 shots | 57.3% | 42.7% |
| 26.5 shots | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| 28.5 shots | 34.1% | 65.9% |
Who takes more shots
Team shot lines
75.8%
60.7%
44.8%
59.2%
41.7%
26.6%
Shot handicap
| Eyupspor line | Eyupspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| -2.5 | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| -0.5 | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| +0.5 | 66.1% | 33.9% |
Shots on target
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 shots on target | 73.8% | 26.2% |
| 7.5 shots on target | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| 8.5 shots on target | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| 9.5 shots on target | 37.8% | 62.2% |
Recent shot volume
Shots taken and faced per game over each side’s last 6 matches, from real match data.
This season (2026/27)
13.0Eyupspor shots per game14.5Eyupspor shots faced per game17.2Goztep shots per game18.2Goztep shots faced per gameShot volume tracks territory and game state more than the scoreline, below are the model total-shot probabilities. More attempts are projected for Eyupspor.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
57.3%Over 24.5 shots60.7%Eyupspor over 12.5 shots41.7%Goztep over 12.5 shots62.0%Over 7.5 on targetFor the team lines, Eyupspor over 12.5 shots sits at 60.7% and Goztep at 41.7%. This season Eyupspor have averaged 13.0 shots a game and Goztep 17.2.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many shots in Eyupspor vs Goztep?
The model rates over 24.5 total shots at 57.3% for Eyupspor vs Goztep.
Which team will have more shots in Eyupspor vs Goztep?
The model rates Eyupspor to take more shots at 60.3%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Shots accuracy
How our Shots calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 12,949 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Shots actually happened 56.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Shots calls
Our most recent Shots calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Süper Lig, Shots
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
