Eyupspor vs Goztep prediction & probabilities (2026-10-12)

Süper Lig

Eyupspor vs Goztep Correct Score

2026-10-12 · 18:00
Correct Score1-1Most likely · 13.2%
Best predictionMost likely · 13.2% · 1-1No single outcome dominates, read the distribution. Calibrated, not a tip.
ConvictionOpen

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 13.2% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Eyupspor have averaged 0.4 scored and 1.6 conceded, Goztep 1.8 and 2.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 47.9% for over 2.5 and 73.7% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 0.8 goals a game. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.

Correct Score

Most likely1-1 13.2%
Scoreline Probability
1-1 13.2%
0-1 9.2%
1-0 9.0%
1-2 8.3%
0-0 8.1%
2-1 8.0%
0-2 6.5%
2-0 6.1%

Score probability grid

Eyupspor \ Goztep 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8% 9% 6% 3% 1% ·
1 9% 13% 8% 4% 1% ·
2 6% 8% 5% 2% 1% ·
3 3% 3% 2% 1% · ·
4 1% 1% 1% · · ·
5 · · · · · ·

Rows = Eyupspor goals, columns = Goztep. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Darker cells carry more probability.

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.1%

0

18.2%

1

25.8%

2

21.7%

3

14.1%

4

11.7%

5+

In-depth analysis

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

37.0%Favoured: Goztep
53.3%Both Teams to Score
47.9%Over 2.5 goals

On the goals side, the model sees 47.9% for three or more goals and 73.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Goztep favoured at 37.0%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 1-1 on Correct Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 47.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGoztep are the model’s pick on the result at 37.0%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Form & head-to-head

EyupsporLLWLL
GoztepDLLLD

Last 4 meetings: Eyupspor 1 · 3 draws · Goztep 0 · 0.8 goals/game.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Eyupspor vs Goztep?
The model's most likely scoreline for Eyupspor vs Goztep is 1-1 at 13.2%.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Overall model accuracy

We don’t yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0095Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
55,416Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

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Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.