La Liga
ElcheElcheWDDWL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1113:00UK21°C · Cloudy
BetisBetisDWLDW

Elche vs Real Betis xG stats

Recent xG created per game, from recorded matches.

Elche1.15

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Betis1.80

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

Elche have created 1.15 xG and scored 1.33 per game over their last 6, tracking their xG closely. Betis have created 1.80 xG and scored 1.83 per game over their last 6, tracking their xG closely.

Real Understat xG, recent games only (the five leagues we cover for xG). xG measures chance quality, not a tip.

ElcheElche

Recent xG per game

Recorded recent matches.

BetisBetis
Statistic
Elche
Betis
Matches in sample
6
6
xG created per game
1.15
1.80

xG conceded per game
1.61
1.43

Bar scales · xG per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

ElcheElcheLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 0-1

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

BetisBetisLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 5-2
L
Loss · 2-5
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-1

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1ElcheElche wins
1Draws
3BetisBetis wins
2.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
BetisBetis
2 – 1
ElcheElche
ElcheElche
1 – 1
BetisBetis
ElcheElche
2 – 3
BetisBetis
BetisBetis
3 – 0
ElcheElche
BetisBetis
0 – 1
ElcheElche

Match outlook

PickElche38.0%
Draw24.0%
Betis38.0%

The model leans Elche to win.

See the full prediction

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Expected Goals (xG)-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0102Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,192Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 3 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

In-depth analysis

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

38.0%Favoured: Elche
59.3%Both Teams to Score
55.7%Over 2.5 goals

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

ElcheElche (1)
Lucas Cepeda
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
4.7%
21.28
1+ shot on target
48.7%
2.05
2+ shots
40.2%
2.49
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.13
On target1.51
Goals0.11
BetisBetis (1)
Antony
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
17.8%
5.62
1+ shot on target
63.7%
1.57
2+ shots
73.8%
1.36
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.35
On target1.29
Goals0.25

FAQ

How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More La Liga, Expected Goals (xG)

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.