La Liga
ElcheElcheWDDWL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1113:00UK21°C · Cloudy
BetisBetisDWLDW

Elche vs Real Betis correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.1%
2-1 correct score8.4%
1-2 correct score8.4%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.1%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Elche goals, columns = Betis goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.1%
  2. 2-18.4%
  3. 1-28.4%
  4. 0-17.4%
  5. 1-07.4%
  6. 2-26.1%
  7. 0-06.0%
  8. 2-05.8%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6% 7.4% 5.8% 2.8% 1% 0.3%
1 7.4% 12.1% 8.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.4% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.8% 4.1% 3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Elche · Columns: Betis

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.0%

0

14.7%

1

23.6%

2

22.4%

3

16.3%

4

16.2%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

ElcheElcheLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 0-1

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

BetisBetisLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 5-2
L
Loss · 2-5
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-1

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1ElcheElche wins
1Draws
3BetisBetis wins
2.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
BetisBetis
2 – 1
ElcheElche
ElcheElche
1 – 1
BetisBetis
ElcheElche
2 – 3
BetisBetis
BetisBetis
3 – 0
ElcheElche
BetisBetis
0 – 1
ElcheElche

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0102Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,192Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 3 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 12.1% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Elche have averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded, Betis 2.0 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 55.7% for over 2.5 and 79.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.8 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 55.7% for three or more goals and 79.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Elche favoured at 38.0%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

38.0%Favoured: Elche
59.3%Both Teams to Score
55.7%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 55.7% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutElche are the model’s pick on the result at 38.0%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

ElcheElche (1)
Lucas Cepeda
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
4.7%
21.28
1+ shot on target
48.7%
2.05
2+ shots
40.2%
2.49
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.13
On target1.51
Goals0.11
BetisBetis (1)
Antony
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
17.8%
5.62
1+ shot on target
63.7%
1.57
2+ shots
73.8%
1.36
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.35
On target1.29
Goals0.25

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Elche vs Betis?
The model's most likely scoreline for Elche vs Betis is 1-1 at 12.1%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.