Premier League
CoventryCoventryLLWWL
Full time0-1Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1015:00UK11°C · Rain
FulhamFulhamLDDLW

Coventry 0-1 Fulham correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.1%
0-1 correct score9.7%
1-2 correct score8.7%

Result

Coventry0-1Fulham

Final score 0-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 9.7%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.1%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Coventry goals, columns = Fulham goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.1%
  2. 0-19.7%
  3. 1-28.7%
  4. 1-08.4%
  5. 0-08.1%
  6. 2-17.5%
  7. 0-27.2%
  8. 2-05.4%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1% 9.7% 7.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8.4% 13.1% 8.7% 4% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.5% 5.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3% 2.1% 1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Coventry · Columns: Fulham

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.1%

0

18.1%

1

25.7%

2

21.7%

3

14.1%

4

11.8%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

CoventryCoventryLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-5
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 4-1
L
Loss · 1-3

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

FulhamFulhamLast 5
L
Loss · 2-3
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 1-0

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 13.1% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Coventry have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded, Fulham 1.0 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 48.2% for over 2.5 and 73.9% for at least two goals. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 48.2% for three or more goals and 73.9% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Fulham favoured at 41.5%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

41.5%Favoured: Fulham
53.3%Both Teams to Score
48.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 48.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutFulham are the model’s pick on the result at 41.5%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

CoventryCoventry (1)
Taiwo Awoniyi
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
10.9%
9.17
1+ shot on target
26.1%
3.83
2+ shots
17.1%
5.85
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.90
On target1.18
Goals0.45
FulhamFulham (1)
Rodrigo Muniz
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
14.8%
6.76
1+ shot on target
32.9%
3.04
2+ shots
34.5%
2.90
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.28
On target1.07
Goals0.43

FAQ

What was the score in Coventry vs Fulham?
Coventry vs Fulham finished 0-1. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.1%; it gave the actual 0-1 a 9.7% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.