Premier League
HullHullDLDLD
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1015:00UK12°C · Cloudy
IpswichIpswichWLWLD

Hull vs Ipswich correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.8%
1-0 correct score9.4%
2-1 correct score8.9%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.8%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Hull goals, columns = Ipswich goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.8%
  2. 1-09.4%
  3. 2-18.9%
  4. 0-17.7%
  5. 0-07.4%
  6. 1-27.4%
  7. 2-07.3%
  8. 2-25.4%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4% 7.7% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.8% 7.4% 3% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Hull · Columns: Ipswich

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.4%

0

17.1%

1

25.2%

2

22.0%

3

14.7%

4

12.9%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

HullHullLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 1-1

0 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses

IpswichIpswichLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 2-3
D
Draw · 1-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 12.8% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Hull have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded, Ipswich 1.6 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 50.2% for over 2.5 and 75.4% for at least two goals. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 50.2% for three or more goals and 75.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Hull favoured at 42.7%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

42.7%Favoured: Hull
54.8%Both Teams to Score
50.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 50.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutHull are the model’s pick on the result at 42.7%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

HullHull (1)
Robinio Vaz
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
14.1%
7.09
1+ shot on target
21.5%
4.65
2+ shots
7.7%
12.99
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.13
On target1.13
Goals0.71
IpswichIpswich (1)
Chuba Akpom
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
18.1%
5.52
1+ shot on target
45.1%
2.22
2+ shots
32.0%
3.12
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.82
On target1.47
Goals0.49

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Hull vs Ipswich?
The model's most likely scoreline for Hull vs Ipswich is 1-1 at 12.8%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.