Süper Lig
RizesporRizesporDLLLD
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1110:30UK
ErzurumsporErzurumsporWDWWL

Rizespor vs Erzurumspor correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11.2%
2-1 correct score9.9%
1-0 correct score9.6%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.2%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Rizespor goals, columns = Erzurumspor goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.2%
  2. 2-19.9%
  3. 1-09.6%
  4. 2-09.4%
  5. 3-16.1%
  6. 0-06.0%
  7. 3-05.8%
  8. 1-25.6%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6% 5.2% 3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.6% 11.2% 5.6% 2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Rizespor · Columns: Erzurumspor

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.0%

0

14.8%

1

23.6%

2

22.4%

3

16.3%

4

15.8%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

RizesporRizesporLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 3-4
D
Draw · 0-0

0 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses

ErzurumsporErzurumsporLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 1-3

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0102Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,177Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 3 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 11.2% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Rizespor have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded, Erzurumspor 1.4 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 55.7% for over 2.5 and 79.3% for at least two goals. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 55.7% for three or more goals and 79.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Rizespor favoured at 55.7%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

55.7%Favoured: Rizespor
55.5%Both Teams to Score
55.7%Over 2.5 goals

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 55.7% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutRizespor are the model’s pick on the result at 55.7%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Rizespor vs Erzurumspor?
The model's most likely scoreline for Rizespor vs Erzurumspor is 1-1 at 11.2%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.