League TwoChesterfield vs York Both Teams to Score
Result
We called Yes at 50.2% and it missed. We called Yes at 78.6% and it missed (0 in the match).
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 50.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Chesterfield have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded, York 2.0 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 52.3% for over 2.5 and 76.8% for at least two goals. Chesterfield have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, York in 4 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
1.6
1.4
2.0
1.2
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
71.4%Chesterfield BTTS rate14.3%Chesterfield clean sheets
1.4Chesterfield goals scored per game83.3%York BTTS rate16.7%York clean sheets2.2York goals scored per gameGoals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
50.2%Both Teams to Score52.3%Over 2.5 goalsOn the goals side, the model sees 52.3% for three or more goals and 76.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Chesterfield favoured at 60.5%, a one-sided game can cap the goals at one end.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Chesterfield to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Did both teams score in Chesterfield vs York?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 50.2%. Both teams did not both score, final score 2-0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 26,755 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More League Two, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
