Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale prediction & probabilities (2026-09-26)

League Two

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale Both Teams to Score

2026-09-26 · 15:00
Both Teams to Score53.6%Both teams to score · No
Best predictionBoth teams to score · No · 53.6%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
54%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · No at 53.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Fleetwood Town have averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded, Rochdale 1.0 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 45.0% for over 2.5 and 71.3% for at least two goals. Fleetwood Town have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Rochdale in 2 of 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.

Both Teams to Score

Yes46.4%

★ ModelNo53.6%

Over 2.5 · context45.0%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Fleetwood Town scored

1.2

Fleetwood Town conceded

0.8

Rochdale scored

1.0

Rochdale conceded

1.4

Each team to score

Fleetwood Town to score80.5%

Fleetwood Town 2+ goals48.6%

Rochdale to score56.9%

Rochdale 2+ goals20.7%

By half

Both score in 1st half13.6%

Both score in 2nd half24.3%

This season (2026/27)

50.0%Fleetwood Town BTTS rate
50.0%Fleetwood Town clean sheets
1.2Fleetwood Town goals scored per game
33.3%Rochdale BTTS rate
33.3%Rochdale clean sheets
0.8Rochdale goals scored per game

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.0%

0

19.7%

1

26.3%

2

21.3%

3

13.2%

4

9.9%

5+

In-depth analysis

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

55.5%Favoured: Fleetwood Town
46.4%Both Teams to Score
45.0%Over 2.5 goals

On the goals side, the model sees 45.0% for three or more goals and 71.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Fleetwood Town favoured at 55.5%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 53.6% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 45.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutFleetwood Town are the model’s pick on the result at 55.5%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Fleetwood Town55.5%

Draw25.8%

Rochdale18.7%

The model leans Fleetwood Town to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

Fleetwood TownDDDWD
RochdaleLLWLD

Recent trends

Fleetwood TownBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 1/5
RochdaleBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 46.4% for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale.

Will Fleetwood Town score against Rochdale?
The model rates Fleetwood Town to score at 80.5% and Rochdale to score at 56.9%.

How often have Fleetwood Town seen both teams score recently?
Fleetwood Town have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Rochdale in 2 of 5.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0232Calibration error
55,473Matches graded

In 20,276 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 20 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 58.1%✓ 57.7%✗ 52.4%✗ 50.5%✗ 50.8%✗ 51.4%✗ 50.4%✓ 57.1%✓ 53.6%✗ 50.2%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Betis vs Getafe2026-09-17No 58.1%Hit
Malaga vs Villarreal2026-09-17Yes 57.7%Hit
Ath Madrid vs Osasuna2026-09-16Yes 52.4%Miss
La Coruna vs Sevilla2026-09-16Yes 50.5%Miss
Barcelona vs Santander2026-09-16No 50.8%Miss

More League Two, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.