Casa Pia 0-1 Santa Clara correct score: our prediction vs the result
Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.
Result
Casa Pia0-1Santa Clara
Final score 0-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 15.0%.
Model read
No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.
Conviction: Open
Most likely · 15.0%0-1
Correct score
Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.
Rows = Casa Pia goals, columns = Santa Clara goals. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 15.0%.
The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.
Most likely scorelines
- 0-115.0%
- 1-113.3%
- 0-012.5%
- 0-210.3%
- 1-09.0%
- 1-28.4%
- 2-15.2%
- 0-34.6%
Score probability grid
| H / A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.5% | 15% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Rows: Casa Pia · Columns: Santa Clara
Goals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
Form & head-to-head
Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.
Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.
L
L
D
L
W
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
W
D
W
W
D
3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Overall model accuracy
We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 6 Nov 2026.
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Most likely · 15.0% at 0-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Casa Pia have averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded, Santa Clara 1.6 and 0.4 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 35.9% for over 2.5 and 63.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.8 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.
In-depth analysis
For the goal environment, the model sees 35.9% for three or more goals and 63.5% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Santa Clara favoured at 48.0%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
What was the score in Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
How is this probability calculated?
Is this a betting tip?
All correct score predictions
Related
Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
