AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 3 Nov 2026

Süper Lig
BesiktasBesiktasLWLWD
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1118:00UK
GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligiLDLLW

Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined66.1%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined34%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 3.5 cards66.1%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi. Slightly more cards are projected for Genclerbirligi for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 82.8% 17.2%
3.5 cards 66.1% 34.0%
4.5 cards 47.1% 52.9%
5.5 cards 30.0% 70.0%

Who picks up more cards

Besiktas
33.5%
Level
19.1%
Genclerbirligi
47.4%

Team cards lines

Besiktas

Over 1.5
61.2%
Over 2.5
34.1%

Genclerbirligi

Over 1.5
70.2%
Over 2.5
44.3%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Besiktas's; Genclerbirligi gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Besiktas line Besiktas Genclerbirligi
-1.5 18.1% 82.0%
-0.5 33.5% 66.5%
+0.5 52.6% 47.4%
+1.5 70.9% 29.1%

Red card

Any red card15.1%
Besiktas red card3.4%
Genclerbirligi red card12.1%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 86.2% 13.8%
22.5 fouls 75.8% 24.2%
24.5 fouls 62.5% 37.5%

Recent referees

The referees each side has met most this season, with cards per game overall and for that team. This history does not establish who officiates this match. The main match page shows a saved match referee when available.

Team Referee Games Cards/g Team cards/g
Genclerbirligi Umit Ozturk 2 7.0 3.5

Swipe to see all referee stats →

BesiktasBesiktas

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Besiktas at home and Genclerbirligi away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligi
Statistic
Besiktas
Genclerbirligi
Yellow cards per game
2.4
1.9

First-half yellow cards per game
0.8
0.8

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.9
1.4

Matches with card data
2
0

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
51,078Matches graded

In 10,263 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Cards actually happened 65.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 3 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 58.7%✓ 56.2%✓ 59.8%✓ 75.9%✗ 61.0%✓ 62.7%✓ 62.4%✗ 57.2%✗ 52.3%✓ 58.0%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Under 3.5 58.7%Miss
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Over 3.5 56.2%Hit
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Over 3.5 59.8%Hit
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Over 3.5 75.9%Hit
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Over 3.5 61.0%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 66.1%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Across the lines, the model goes from 82.8% for over 2.5 to 30.0% for over 5.5, with over 4.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.1%. Head to head on cards, Genclerbirligi are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 47.4%, with a level count at 19.1%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Besiktas over 1.5 cards sits at 61.2% and Genclerbirligi at 70.2%. A red card for either side is rated at 15.1% (Besiktas 3.4%, Genclerbirligi 12.1%). Genclerbirligi’s most frequent referee this season, Umit Ozturk, has averaged 7.0 cards a game across 2 of their matches; the appointment for this game is not known before kickoff.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

66.1%Over 3.5 cards
15.1%Any red card
47.4%Most cards: Genclerbirligi
61.2%Besiktas over 1.5 cards
70.2%Genclerbirligi over 1.5 cards
75.8%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 66.1% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Referee WatcherUmit Ozturk, Genclerbirligi’s most frequent referee this season, averages 7.0 cards a game. These historical averages do not identify this match’s referee.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 15.1%, unlikely, and priced as such.
The DisciplinarianGenclerbirligi are the pick to collect more cards at 47.4%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
BesiktasBesiktas

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligi
Statistic
Besiktas
Genclerbirligi
fouls per game
13.4
13.1

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 66.1% for Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi.
Will there be a red card in Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?
The model rates a red card for either side at 15.1%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?
The model rates Genclerbirligi to pick up more cards at 47.4%, with a level count at 19.1%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Süper LigBesiktas fixtures and statsGenclerbirligi fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.