Süper Lig
BesiktasBesiktasLWLWD
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1118:00UK
GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligiLDLLW

Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined51%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined49%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners49.0%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Besiktas.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 72.8% 27.2%
8.5 corners 61.2% 38.8%
9.5 corners 49.0% 51.0%
10.5 corners 37.4% 62.6%
11.5 corners 27.2% 72.8%
12.5 corners 18.8% 81.2%

Who wins the corner count

Besiktas
58.9%
Level
10.3%
Genclerbirligi
30.9%

Team corners lines

Besiktas

Over 3.5
75.6%
Over 4.5
61.0%
Over 5.5
46.0%

Genclerbirligi

Over 3.5
56.8%
Over 4.5
39.5%
Over 5.5
25.3%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Besiktas's; Genclerbirligi gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Besiktas line Besiktas Genclerbirligi
-3.5 27.8% 72.3%
-1.5 48.0% 52.0%
-0.5 58.9% 41.1%
+0.5 69.1% 30.9%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
51,077Matches graded

In 21,999 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 3 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 52.5%✓ 50.2%✗ 50.6%✓ 56.9%✗ 50.6%✓ 53.7%✗ 51.8%✓ 62.7%✗ 61.2%✓ 61.5%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Over 9.5 52.5%Hit
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.2%Hit
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 9.5 56.9%Hit
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 49.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 72.8% for over 7.5 to 18.8% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.0%. Between the two sides, Besiktas are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 58.9%, with a level count at 10.3%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Besiktas over 4.5 corners sits at 61.0% and Genclerbirligi at 39.5%. This season Besiktas have averaged 6.7 corners won a game and Genclerbirligi 5.0.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

49.0%Over 9.5 corners
58.9%Most corners: Besiktas
61.0%Besiktas over 4.5 corners
39.5%Genclerbirligi over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 49.0% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderBesiktas are the pick to win the corner count at 58.9%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 49.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
BesiktasBesiktas

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligi
Statistic
Besiktas
Genclerbirligi
corners won per game
6.7
5.0

corners conceded per game
3.7
7.0

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 49.0% for Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi.
Which team will win the corner count in Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?
The model rates Besiktas to win the corner count at 58.9%, with a level count at 10.3%.
How many corners do Besiktas and Genclerbirligi average this season?
Besiktas have won 6.7 corners a game this season and Genclerbirligi 5.0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Süper Lig, Corners

Corner predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.