Premier League
Aston Villa vs 
Brentford Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 58.9%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Aston Villa have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded, Brentford 2.0 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 55.0% for over 2.5 and 78.9% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. Aston Villa have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Brentford in 3 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.8
1.8
2.0
0.8
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
40.0%Aston Villa BTTS rate20.0%Aston Villa clean sheets
0.8Aston Villa goals scored per game60.0%Brentford BTTS rate40.0%Brentford clean sheets2.0Brentford goals scored per gameGoals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
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4
5+
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
58.9%Both Teams to Score55.0%Over 2.5 goalsOn the goals side, the model sees 55.0% for three or more goals and 78.9% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Aston Villa favoured at 38.3%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Aston Villa to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Aston Villa 2 · 1 draws · Brentford 2 · 2.6 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 58.9% for Aston Villa vs Brentford.
Will Aston Villa score against Brentford?
The model rates Aston Villa to score at 76.7% and Brentford to score at 76.0%.
How often have Aston Villa seen both teams score recently?
Aston Villa have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Brentford in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 26,755 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Premier League, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
