Premier League
Arsenal vs 
Leeds Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · No at 53.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Arsenal have averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded, Leeds 1.4 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 46.6% for over 2.5 and 72.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.6 goals a game. Arsenal have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 5, Leeds in 3 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
1.6
0.8
1.4
0.6
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
20.0%Arsenal BTTS rate60.0%Arsenal clean sheets
1.6Arsenal goals scored per game60.0%Leeds BTTS rate40.0%Leeds clean sheets1.4Leeds goals scored per gameGoals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.
46.6%Both Teams to Score46.6%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 46.6% for three or more goals and 72.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Arsenal favoured at 59.5%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Arsenal to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Arsenal 5 · 0 draws · Leeds 0 · 3.6 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Leeds?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 46.6% for Arsenal vs Leeds.
Will Arsenal score against Leeds?
The model rates Arsenal to score at 81.9% and Leeds to score at 56.2%.
How often have Arsenal seen both teams score recently?
Arsenal have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 5, Leeds in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 20,316 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 23 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Premier League, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
