Serie A
UdineseUdineseLLLLL
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1017:00UK14°C · Cloudy
RomaRomaWDDWD

Udinese vs Roma correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11.4%
0-1 correct score10.7%
0-2 correct score10.2%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.4%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Udinese goals, columns = Roma goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.4%
  2. 0-110.7%
  3. 0-210.2%
  4. 1-29.8%
  5. 0-06.8%
  6. 0-36.2%
  7. 1-35.9%
  8. 1-05.5%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8% 10.7% 10.2% 6.2% 2.8% 1%
1 5.5% 11.4% 9.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1%
2 2.9% 5.3% 4.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Udinese · Columns: Roma

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.8%

0

16.2%

1

24.6%

2

22.2%

3

15.4%

4

13.7%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

UdineseUdineseLast 5
L
Loss · 3-5
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 0-2

0 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses

RomaRomaLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 3-3

2 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1UdineseUdinese wins
0Draws
4RomaRoma wins
2.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
UdineseUdinese
1 – 0
RomaRoma
RomaRoma
2 – 0
UdineseUdinese
UdineseUdinese
1 – 2
RomaRoma
RomaRoma
3 – 0
UdineseUdinese
UdineseUdinese
1 – 2
RomaRoma

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 11.4% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Udinese have averaged 0.8 scored and 2.6 conceded, Roma 1.8 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 52.4% for over 2.5 and 77.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.4 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 52.4% for three or more goals and 77.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Roma favoured at 58.6%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

58.6%Favoured: Roma
52.2%Both Teams to Score
52.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 52.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutRoma are the model’s pick on the result at 58.6%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

UdineseUdinese (1)
Idrissa Gueye
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
7.5%
13.33
1+ shot on target
31.9%
3.13
2+ shots
34.8%
2.87
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.29
On target1.34
Goals0.27
RomaRoma (1)
Donyell Malen
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
34.1%
2.93
1+ shot on target
61.0%
1.64
2+ shots
64.8%
1.54
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.30
On target1.83
Goals0.81

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Udinese vs Roma?
The model's most likely scoreline for Udinese vs Roma is 1-1 at 11.4%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.