Serie A
MilanMilanDWDWW
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1019:45UK12°C · Cloudy
InterInterWDWWW

AC Milan vs Inter correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11.7%
1-2 correct score9.4%
0-1 correct score8.3%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.7%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Milan goals, columns = Inter goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.7%
  2. 1-29.4%
  3. 0-18.3%
  4. 0-27.4%
  5. 2-17.1%
  6. 1-06.1%
  7. 2-25.9%
  8. 0-05.8%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8% 8.3% 7.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.1% 11.7% 9.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.1% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Milan · Columns: Inter

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.8%

0

14.4%

1

23.4%

2

22.4%

3

16.5%

4

16.7%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

MilanMilanLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 3-0
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 2-0

3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses

InterInterLast 5
W
Win · 5-3
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 2-1

4 wins · 1 draw · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3MilanMilan wins
1Draws
1InterInter wins
2.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
MilanMilan
1 – 0
InterInter
InterInter
0 – 1
MilanMilan
MilanMilan
1 – 1
InterInter
InterInter
1 – 2
MilanMilan
MilanMilan
1 – 2
InterInter

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 11.7% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Milan have averaged 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded, Inter 3.0 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 56.5% for over 2.5 and 79.8% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 56.5% for three or more goals and 79.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Inter favoured at 47.9%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

47.9%Favoured: Inter
59.0%Both Teams to Score
56.5%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 56.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutInter are the model’s pick on the result at 47.9%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

MilanMilan (1)
Gonçalo Ramos
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
26.2%
3.82
1+ shot on target
67.8%
1.47
2+ shots
67.8%
1.47
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.09
On target1.98
Goals0.53
InterInter (1)
Lautaro Martínez
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
40.4%
2.48
1+ shot on target
70.1%
1.43
2+ shots
85.0%
1.18
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.92
On target1.40
Goals0.60

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Milan vs Inter?
The model's most likely scoreline for Milan vs Inter is 1-1 at 11.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.