Ekstraklasa
ZaglebieZaglebieWLLWD
Mon, 2 Nov 20262/1117:00UK
Korona KielceKorona KielceLWLLW

Zaglebie vs Korona Kielce correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.5%
1-0 correct score13.3%
0-0 correct score10.9%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.5%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Zaglebie goals, columns = Korona Kielce goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.5%
  2. 1-013.3%
  3. 0-010.9%
  4. 2-09.4%
  5. 0-18.8%
  6. 2-18.7%
  7. 1-25.9%
  8. 0-24.4%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9% 8.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.5% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.7% 4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Zaglebie · Columns: Korona Kielce

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

10.9%

0

22.1%

1

27.2%

2

20.2%

3

11.5%

4

7.8%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

ZaglebieZaglebieLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 2-2

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Korona KielceKorona KielceLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-6
W
Win · 1-0

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2ZaglebieZaglebie wins
2Draws
1Korona KielceKorona Kielce wins
2.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
1 – 2
ZaglebieZaglebie
ZaglebieZaglebie
1 – 1
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
ZaglebieZaglebie
1 – 1
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
2 – 0
ZaglebieZaglebie
ZaglebieZaglebie
1 – 0
Korona KielceKorona Kielce

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 13.5% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Zaglebie have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded, Korona Kielce 1.0 and 2.4 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 39.8% for over 2.5 and 67.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 39.8% for three or more goals and 67.0% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Zaglebie favoured at 46.2%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

46.2%Favoured: Zaglebie
45.3%Both Teams to Score
39.8%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 39.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutZaglebie are the model’s pick on the result at 46.2%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Zaglebie vs Korona Kielce?
The model's most likely scoreline for Zaglebie vs Korona Kielce is 1-1 at 13.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ekstraklasa, Correct Score

Correct score predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.