Ekstraklasa
Gornik ZabrzeGornik ZabrzeWDWDD
Fri, 30 Oct 202630/1019:30UK
LegiaLegiaDWWDL

Gornik Zabrze vs Legia correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.5%
1-0 correct score11.7%
0-0 correct score9.8%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.5%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Gornik Zabrze goals, columns = Legia goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.5%
  2. 1-011.7%
  3. 0-09.8%
  4. 0-18.9%
  5. 2-18.7%
  6. 2-08.3%
  7. 1-26.7%
  8. 0-25.0%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8% 8.9% 5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.7% 13.5% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.3% 8.7% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Gornik Zabrze · Columns: Legia

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.8%

0

20.5%

1

26.8%

2

20.9%

3

12.5%

4

9.2%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Gornik ZabrzeGornik ZabrzeLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1

2 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses

LegiaLegiaLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze wins
2Draws
2LegiaLegia wins
3.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
LegiaLegia
1 – 1
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
3 – 1
LegiaLegia
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
1 – 2
LegiaLegia
LegiaLegia
1 – 1
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
1 – 3
LegiaLegia

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 13.5% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Gornik Zabrze have averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded, Legia 1.6 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 42.9% for over 2.5 and 69.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 42.9% for three or more goals and 69.7% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Gornik Zabrze favoured at 43.2%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

43.2%Favoured: Gornik Zabrze
48.7%Both Teams to Score
42.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 42.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGornik Zabrze are the model’s pick on the result at 43.2%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Gornik Zabrze vs Legia?
The model's most likely scoreline for Gornik Zabrze vs Legia is 1-1 at 13.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.