Ekstraklasa
CracoviaCracoviaLLWDL
Fri, 30 Oct 202630/1017:00UK
Motor LublinMotor LublinLDWWD

Cracovia vs Motor Lublin correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.1%
2-1 correct score9.2%
1-0 correct score8.6%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.1%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Cracovia goals, columns = Motor Lublin goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.1%
  2. 2-19.2%
  3. 1-08.6%
  4. 1-27.3%
  5. 2-07.3%
  6. 0-16.7%
  7. 0-06.3%
  8. 2-25.8%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3% 6.7% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.6% 12.1% 7.3% 3.1% 1% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.2% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Cracovia · Columns: Motor Lublin

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.3%

0

15.2%

1

24.0%

2

22.3%

3

16.0%

4

15.3%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

CracoviaCracoviaLast 5
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-3

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Motor LublinMotor LublinLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 3-2
D
Draw · 2-2

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2CracoviaCracovia wins
1Draws
1Motor LublinMotor Lublin wins
4.5Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
3 – 3
CracoviaCracovia
CracoviaCracovia
1 – 2
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
0 – 1
CracoviaCracovia
CracoviaCracovia
6 – 2
Motor LublinMotor Lublin

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 12.1% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Cracovia have averaged 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded, Motor Lublin 1.8 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.4% for over 2.5 and 78.4% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 4.5 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 54.4% for three or more goals and 78.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Cracovia favoured at 44.5%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

44.5%Favoured: Cracovia
57.7%Both Teams to Score
54.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 54.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutCracovia are the model’s pick on the result at 44.5%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Cracovia vs Motor Lublin?
The model's most likely scoreline for Cracovia vs Motor Lublin is 1-1 at 12.1%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.