AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

League Two
YorkYorkLWDDD
Full time2-0Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1015:00UK
Port ValePort ValeWLWWD

York 2-0 Port Vale both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes50.2%
Both teams to score: No49.8%

Result

York2-0Port Vale
0 goals before half-timeYork 0, Port Vale 0
YesYes

We called Yes at 50.2% and it missed. We called Yes at 60.3% and it missed (0 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes50.2%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean50.2%
No49.8%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 44.7%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

York scored
1.2
York conceded
1.0
Port Vale scored
0.8
Port Vale conceded
0.6

Each team to score

York to score74.5%
York 2+ goals39.7%
Port Vale to score66.6%
Port Vale 2+ goals29.9%

By half

Both score in 1st half13.1%
Both score in 2nd half21.8%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.2%

0

19.7%

1

26.5%

2

21.2%

3

13.1%

4

10.0%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

YorkBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 1/5
Port ValeBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 0/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

YorkYorkLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 3-0
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1

1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

Port ValePort ValeLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 1-1

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Match outlook

PickYork42.4%
Draw28.2%
Port Vale29.4%

The model leans York to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 34,661 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 50.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: York have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded, Port Vale 0.8 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 44.7% for over 2.5 and 71.1% for at least two goals. York have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Port Vale in 1 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 44.7% for three or more goals and 71.1% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With York favoured at 42.4%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

42.4%Favoured: York
50.2%Both Teams to Score
44.7%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 50.2% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 44.7% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutYork are the model’s pick on the result at 42.4%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
YorkYork

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Port ValePort Vale
Statistic
York
Port Vale
BTTS rate
72.7%
30.0%

clean sheets
18.2%
40.0%

goals scored per game
1.7
0.6

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in York vs Port Vale?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 50.2%. Both teams did not both score, final score 2-0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More League Two, Both Teams to Score

Barnet vs York predictionNewport County vs Chesterfield both teams to score predictionGrimsby vs York both teams to score predictionPort Vale vs Rochdale both teams to score predictionAccrington vs Northampton both teams to score predictionColchester vs Walsall both teams to score prediction

BTTS predictions today

Related

League TwoYork fixtures and statsPort Vale fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.