Ekstraklasa
Wieczysta KrakowWieczystaDLDWL
Full time1-2Fri, 16 Oct 202616/1017:00UK
RakowRakowLWLLL

Wieczysta Krakow 1-2 Rakow correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12%
1-2 correct score8.9%
2-1 correct score7.9%

Result

Wieczysta Krakow1-2Rakow

Final score 1-2. The model gave that exact scoreline 8.9%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.0%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Wieczysta Krakow goals, columns = Rakow goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.0%
  2. 1-28.9%
  3. 2-17.9%
  4. 0-17.7%
  5. 1-06.8%
  6. 0-26.4%
  7. 2-26.1%
  8. 0-05.9%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9% 7.7% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.8% 12% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.9% 6.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Wieczysta Krakow · Columns: Rakow

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.9%

0

14.5%

1

23.5%

2

22.4%

3

16.4%

4

16.5%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Wieczysta KrakowWieczystaLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

RakowRakowLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 2-3
L
Loss · 2-3
L
Loss · 1-4

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 12.0% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Wieczysta Krakow have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded, Rakow 1.4 and 2.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 56.0% for over 2.5 and 79.6% for at least two goals. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 56.0% for three or more goals and 79.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Rakow favoured at 40.9%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

40.9%Favoured: Rakow
59.5%Both Teams to Score
56.0%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 56.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutRakow are the model’s pick on the result at 40.9%, a lean on probability, never on price.

FAQ

What was the score in Wieczysta Krakow vs Rakow?
Wieczysta Krakow vs Rakow finished 1-2. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 12.0%; it gave the actual 1-2 a 8.9% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ekstraklasa, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.