Championship
West Ham vs Queens Park Rangers Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 56.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 80.0% for over 7.5 to 26.2% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.9%. Head to head on corners, West Ham are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 55.6%, with a level count at 10.2%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| 8.5 corners | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| 9.5 corners | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| 10.5 corners | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| 11.5 corners | 35.9% | 64.1% |
| 12.5 corners | 26.2% | 73.8% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
78.8%
64.8%
49.9%
65.9%
49.1%
33.7%
Corner handicap
| West Ham line | West Ham | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 25.7% | 74.3% |
| -1.5 | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| -0.5 | 55.6% | 44.5% |
| +0.5 | 65.8% | 34.2% |
This season (2026/27)
6.6West Ham corners won per game4.8West Ham corners conceded per gameCorner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for West Ham.
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
58.6%Over 9.5 corners64.8%West Ham over 4.5 corners49.1%Queens Park Rangers over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalSplit by side, West Ham over 4.5 corners sits at 64.8% and Queens Park Rangers at 49.1%.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in West Ham vs Queens Park Rangers?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 58.6% for West Ham vs Queens Park Rangers.
Which team will win the corner count in West Ham vs Queens Park Rangers?
The model rates West Ham to win the corner count at 55.6%, with a level count at 10.2%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 23,827 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Championship, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
