ChampionshipBlackburn vs Cardiff Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 56.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 79.9% for over 7.5 to 25.9% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.6%. Head to head on corners, Blackburn are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.0%, with a level count at 10.4%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 79.9% | 20.2% |
| 8.5 corners | 69.7% | 30.3% |
| 9.5 corners | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| 10.5 corners | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| 11.5 corners | 35.6% | 64.4% |
| 12.5 corners | 25.9% | 74.1% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
77.4%
63.0%
47.8%
67.6%
50.9%
35.4%
Corner handicap
| Blackburn line | Blackburn | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| -0.5 | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| +0.5 | 63.4% | 36.6% |
| +1.5 | 72.9% | 27.1% |
This season (2026/27)
5.9Blackburn corners won per game4.4Blackburn corners conceded per game8.1Cardiff corners won per game4.7Cardiff corners conceded per gameThe corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Blackburn.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
58.3%Over 9.5 corners63.0%Blackburn over 4.5 corners50.9%Cardiff over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalFor the team lines, Blackburn over 4.5 corners sits at 63.0% and Cardiff at 50.9%. This season Blackburn have averaged 5.9 corners won a game and Cardiff 8.1.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Blackburn vs Cardiff?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 58.3% for Blackburn vs Cardiff.
Which team will win the corner count in Blackburn vs Cardiff?
The model rates Blackburn to win the corner count at 53.0%, with a level count at 10.4%.
How many corners do Blackburn and Cardiff average this season?
Blackburn have won 5.9 corners a game this season and Cardiff 8.1.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 23,762 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Championship, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
