Bundesliga
Werder BremenWerder BremenLWDWD
Full time2-2Sat, 17 Oct 202617/1014:30UK14°C · Cloudy
PaderbornPaderbornDLLWL

Werder Bremen 2-2 Paderborn both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes60.1%
Both teams to score: No39.9%

Result

Werder Bremen2-2Paderborn
Yes

We called Yes at 60.1% and it landed.

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes60.1%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean60.1%
No39.9%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 60.2%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Werder Bremen scored
2.0
Werder Bremen conceded
2.0
Paderborn scored
0.6
Paderborn conceded
1.4

Each team to score

Werder Bremen to score85.2%
Werder Bremen 2+ goals57.0%
Paderborn to score69.9%
Paderborn 2+ goals33.8%

By half

Both score in 1st half15.2%
Both score in 2nd half28.2%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.0%

0

12.8%

1

22.0%

2

22.3%

3

17.4%

4

19.0%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Werder BremenBTTS 5/5Over 2.5 4/5
PaderbornBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Werder BremenWerder BremenLast 5
L
Loss · 1-4
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-2
D
Draw · 2-2

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

PaderbornPaderbornLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 0-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Werder BremenWerder Bremen wins
1Draws
1PaderbornPaderborn wins
3.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
PaderbornPaderborn
1 – 5
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
0 – 1
PaderbornPaderborn
PaderbornPaderborn
2 – 2
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
4 – 0
PaderbornPaderborn

Match outlook

PickWerder Bremen56.3%
Draw21.9%
Paderborn21.9%

The model leans Werder Bremen to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 60.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Werder Bremen have averaged 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded, Paderborn 0.6 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 60.2% for over 2.5 and 82.2% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 3.8 goals a game. Werder Bremen have seen both teams score in 5 of their last 5, Paderborn in 1 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 60.2% for three or more goals and 82.2% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Werder Bremen favoured at 56.3%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

56.3%Favoured: Werder Bremen
60.1%Both Teams to Score
60.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 60.1% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 60.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutWerder Bremen are the model’s pick on the result at 56.3%, a lean on probability, never on price.
Werder BremenWerder Bremen

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

PaderbornPaderborn
Statistic
Werder Bremen
Paderborn
BTTS rate
100.0%
20.0%

clean sheets
0.0%
20.0%

goals scored per game
2.0
0.6

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Werder BremenWerder Bremen (1)
Niclas Füllkrug
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
15.2%
6.58
1+ shot on target
38.1%
2.62
2+ shots
29.6%
3.38
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.17
On target0.96
Goals0.33
PaderbornPaderborn (1)
Rayan Philippe
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
14.0%
7.14
1+ shot on target
42.0%
2.38
2+ shots
38.5%
2.60
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.91
On target1.19
Goals0.33

FAQ

Did both teams score in Werder Bremen vs Paderborn?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 60.1%. Both teams scored, final score 2-2.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.