League TwoWalsall vs Port Vale Corners
Result
We called Over 9.5 at 52.6% and it landed (11 in the match).
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 51.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 75.1% for over 7.5 to 22.1% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 52.6%. Head to head on corners, Walsall are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.7%, with a level count at 10.5%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 75.1% | 24.9% |
| 8.5 corners | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| 9.5 corners | 52.6% | 47.4% |
| 10.5 corners | 41.2% | 58.8% |
| 11.5 corners | 30.9% | 69.1% |
| 12.5 corners | 22.1% | 77.9% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
73.9%
58.9%
43.9%
63.8%
47.1%
32.2%
Corner handicap
| Walsall line | Walsall | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| -0.5 | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| +0.5 | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| +1.5 | 72.8% | 27.2% |
This season (2026/27)
6.7Walsall corners won per game5.7Walsall corners conceded per game4.8Port Vale corners won per game4.2Port Vale corners conceded per gameCorner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Walsall.
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.
52.6%Over 9.5 corners58.9%Walsall over 4.5 corners47.1%Port Vale over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalSplit by side, Walsall over 4.5 corners sits at 58.9% and Port Vale at 47.1%. This season Walsall have averaged 6.7 corners won a game and Port Vale 4.8.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Walsall vs Port Vale?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 52.6% for Walsall vs Port Vale.
Which team will win the corner count in Walsall vs Port Vale?
Before kickoff, the model rated Walsall to win the corner count at 52.7%, with a level count at 10.5%.
How many corners do Walsall and Port Vale average this season?
Walsall have won 6.7 corners a game this season and Port Vale 4.8.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 23,827 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 23 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More League Two, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
