Serie A
Udinese vs 
Como Corners
Result
Settled, final score 1-1. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 39.8%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 61.8% for over 7.5 to 15.8% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 50.6%. On the corner count, Udinese are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.0%, with a level count at 10.5%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 61.8% | 38.2% |
| 8.5 corners | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| 9.5 corners | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| 10.5 corners | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| 11.5 corners | 22.3% | 77.8% |
| 12.5 corners | 15.8% | 84.2% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
63.8%
49.0%
35.7%
53.5%
38.1%
25.5%
Corner handicap
| Udinese line | Udinese | Como |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| -0.5 | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| +0.5 | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| +1.5 | 72.1% | 27.9% |
This season (2025/26)
Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Udinese.
In-depth analysis
For the team lines, Udinese over 4.5 corners sits at 49.0% and Como at 38.1%. This season Udinese have averaged 4.5 corners won a game and Como 4.5.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Udinese vs Como?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 39.9% for Udinese vs Como.
Which team will win the corner count in Udinese vs Como?
Before kickoff, the model rated Udinese to win the corner count at 52.0%, with a level count at 10.5%.
How many corners do Udinese and Como average this season?
Udinese have won 4.5 corners a game this season and Como 4.5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 3,416 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 15 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Serie A, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.