Udinese vs Como prediction & probabilities (2026-08-22)

Serie A

Udinese vs Como Both Teams to Score

2026-08-22 · 17:30
Both Teams to Score51.5%Both teams to score · No

Result

Udinese 1-1 Como
✕ No

We called No at 51.5% and it missed.

Best predictionBoth teams to score · No · 51.5%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
52%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 51.5%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Udinese have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded, Como 1.6 and 0.2 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 44.7% for over 2.5 and 71.1% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 1.8 goals a game. Udinese have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 5, Como in 1 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.

Both Teams to Score

Yes48.5%

★ ModelNo51.5%

Over 2.5 · context44.7%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Udinese scored

1.4

Udinese conceded

1.0

Como scored

1.6

Como conceded

0.2

Each team to score

Udinese to score61.5%

Udinese 2+ goals24.8%

Como to score77.8%

Como 2+ goals44.5%

By half

Both score in 1st half13.9%

Both score in 2nd half26.1%

This season (2025/26)

44.7%Udinese BTTS rate
28.9%Udinese clean sheets
1.2Udinese goals scored per game
42.1%Como BTTS rate
50.0%Como clean sheets
1.7Como goals scored per game

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

9.1%

0

19.8%

1

26.5%

2

21.2%

3

13.1%

4

9.9%

5+

In-depth analysis

51.1%Favoured: Como
48.5%Both Teams to Score
44.7%Over 2.5 goals

Looking at totals, the model sees 44.7% for three or more goals and 71.1% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Como favoured at 51.1%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. We grade every call after the match.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 51.5% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianProjects a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 44.7% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutComo are the model’s pick on the result at 51.1%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Udinese21.6%

Draw27.2%

Como51.1%

The model leans Como to win. See the full prediction →

Key players

F

Florian ThauvinUdinese · 2.47 shots/90
To score 28.2%

N

Nico PazComo · 3.71 shots/90
To score 22.8%

This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.

Form & head-to-head

UdineseDWWLL
ComoWDWWW

Last 4 meetings: Udinese 1 · 1 draws · Como 2 · 1.8 goals/game.

Recent trends

UdineseBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 1/5
ComoBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 1/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Udinese vs Como?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 48.5%. Both teams scored, final score 1-1.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,462Matches graded

In 20,272 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 15 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 58.8%✓ 59.8%✗ 58.8%✗ 51.5%✓ 51.1%✓ 52.3%✗ 50.5%✗ 58.7%✗ 63.1%✗ 50.1%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Leeds vs Newcastle2026-09-14Yes 58.8%Hit
Villarreal vs Betis2026-09-14Yes 59.8%Hit
Como vs Parma2026-09-14No 58.8%Miss
Torino vs Roma2026-09-14Yes 51.5%Miss
Inter vs Udinese2026-09-14Yes 51.1%Hit

More Serie A, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.