Serie A
TorinoTorinoDWWWL
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1114:00UK13°C · Clearing
LecceLecceLLWLL

Torino vs Lecce correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.8%
1-0 correct score10.9%
2-1 correct score9.3%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.8%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Torino goals, columns = Lecce goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.8%
  2. 1-010.9%
  3. 2-19.3%
  4. 2-08.8%
  5. 0-08.1%
  6. 0-17.3%
  7. 1-26.4%
  8. 2-24.9%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1% 7.3% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.8% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.8% 1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Torino · Columns: Lecce

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.1%

0

18.2%

1

25.8%

2

21.7%

3

14.1%

4

11.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

TorinoTorinoLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 1-3

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

LecceLecceLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-5

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2TorinoTorino wins
1Draws
2LecceLecce wins
1.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
TorinoTorino
1 – 0
LecceLecce
LecceLecce
2 – 1
TorinoTorino
LecceLecce
1 – 0
TorinoTorino
TorinoTorino
0 – 0
LecceLecce
TorinoTorino
2 – 0
LecceLecce

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,049Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 12.8% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Torino have averaged 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded, Lecce 1.0 and 2.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 47.9% for over 2.5 and 73.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.4 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 47.9% for three or more goals and 73.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Torino favoured at 49.1%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

49.1%Favoured: Torino
51.8%Both Teams to Score
47.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 47.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutTorino are the model’s pick on the result at 49.1%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

TorinoTorino (1)
Duván Zapata
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
9.1%
10.99
1+ shot on target
36.3%
2.75
2+ shots
30.0%
3.33
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.77
On target1.14
Goals0.24
LecceLecce (1)
Konan N’Dri
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
6.2%
16.13
1+ shot on target
24.1%
4.15
2+ shots
22.5%
4.44
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.20
On target0.99
Goals0.23

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Torino vs Lecce?
The model's most likely scoreline for Torino vs Lecce is 1-1 at 12.8%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.