Premier League
Sunderland vs 
West Ham Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 52.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 76.8% for over 7.5 to 23.0% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.3%. Head to head on corners, Sunderland are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 56.6%, with a level count at 9.9%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 76.8% | 23.3% |
| 8.5 corners | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| 9.5 corners | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| 10.5 corners | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| 11.5 corners | 32.1% | 67.9% |
| 12.5 corners | 23.0% | 77.0% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
76.5%
62.4%
47.8%
61.5%
44.9%
30.3%
Corner handicap
| Sunderland line | Sunderland | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 27.3% | 72.7% |
| -1.5 | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| -0.5 | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| +0.5 | 66.5% | 33.6% |
The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Sunderland.
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
54.3%Over 9.5 corners62.4%Sunderland over 4.5 corners44.9%West Ham over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Sunderland over 4.5 corners sits at 62.4% and West Ham at 44.9%.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Sunderland vs West Ham?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 54.3% for Sunderland vs West Ham.
Which team will win the corner count in Sunderland vs West Ham?
The model rates Sunderland to win the corner count at 56.6%, with a level count at 9.9%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 23,762 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 20 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Premier League, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
