Sunderland vs West Ham prediction & probabilities (2025-08-16)

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Premier League

Sunderland vs West Ham Both Teams to Score

2025-08-16
Both Teams to Score58.2%Both teams to score · Yes
Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 58.2%A moderate lean, nothing emphatic. Calibrated, not a tip.
58%

model probability

ConvictionModerate

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 58.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.3% for over 2.5 and 78.3% for at least two goals. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes58.2%

No41.8%

Over 2.5 · context54.3%

Each team to score

Sunderland to score74.8%

Sunderland 2+ goals40.1%

West Ham to score77.1%

West Ham 2+ goals43.3%

By half

Both score in 1st half21.0%

Both score in 2nd half32.2%

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

6.4%

0

15.3%

1

24.1%

2

22.3%

3

15.9%

4

15.3%

5+

In-depth analysis

39.7%Favoured: West Ham
58.2%Both Teams to Score
54.3%Over 2.5 goals

For the goal environment, the model sees 54.3% for three or more goals and 78.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With West Ham favoured at 39.7%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 58.2% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 54.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutWest Ham are the model’s pick on the result at 39.7%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

Match outlook

Sunderland34.8%

Draw25.6%

West Ham39.7%

The model leans West Ham to win. See the full prediction →

Key players

W

Wilson IsidorSunderland · 3.39 shots/90
To score 17.0%

V

Valentín CastellanosWest Ham · 3.15 shots/90
To score 28.5%

This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs West Ham?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 58.2% for Sunderland vs West Ham.

Will Sunderland score against West Ham?
The model rates Sunderland to score at 74.8% and West Ham to score at 77.1%.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0232Calibration error
55,473Matches graded

In 26,677 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 58.1%✓ 57.7%✗ 52.4%✗ 50.5%✗ 50.8%✗ 51.4%✗ 50.4%✓ 57.1%✓ 53.6%✗ 50.2%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Betis vs Getafe2026-09-17No 58.1%Hit
Malaga vs Villarreal2026-09-17Yes 57.7%Hit
Ath Madrid vs Osasuna2026-09-16Yes 52.4%Miss
La Coruna vs Sevilla2026-09-16Yes 50.5%Miss
Barcelona vs Santander2026-09-16No 50.8%Miss

More Premier League, Both Teams to Score

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All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Premier LeagueSunderlandWest HamTrack record

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.