AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 2 Nov 2026

Pro League
St TruidenSt TruidenLLLLL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1118:15UK
WaregemWaregemLLLLL

Sint-Truiden vs Waregem corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56.9%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined43.1%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners56.9%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for St Truiden.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 78.9% 21.1%
8.5 corners 68.5% 31.5%
9.5 corners 56.9% 43.1%
10.5 corners 45.1% 54.9%
11.5 corners 34.0% 66.0%
12.5 corners 24.5% 75.5%

Who wins the corner count

St Truiden
56.5%
Level
10.2%
Waregem
33.3%

Team corners lines

St Truiden

Over 3.5
78.4%
Over 4.5
64.4%
Over 5.5
49.3%

Waregem

Over 3.5
64.1%
Over 4.5
47.1%
Over 5.5
31.8%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is St Truiden's; Waregem gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

St Truiden line St Truiden Waregem
-3.5 26.3% 73.7%
-1.5 45.8% 54.2%
-0.5 56.5% 43.5%
+0.5 66.7% 33.3%
St TruidenSt Truiden

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means St Truiden at home and Waregem away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

WaregemWaregem
Statistic
St Truiden
Waregem
Corners won per game at this venue
6.8
4.5

Corners conceded per game at this venue
2.8
6.5

First-half corners won per game
3.4
2.0

Second-half corners won per game
2.0
2.6

Matches with more corners than the opponent
75.0%
37.5%

Matches with corner data
8
8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
51,077Matches graded

In 24,084 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 52.5%✓ 50.2%✗ 50.6%✓ 56.9%✗ 50.6%✓ 53.7%✗ 51.8%✓ 62.7%✗ 61.2%✓ 61.5%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Over 9.5 52.5%Hit
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.2%Hit
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 9.5 56.9%Hit
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 56.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 78.9% for over 7.5 to 24.5% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.1%. Between the two sides, St Truiden are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 56.5%, with a level count at 10.2%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, St Truiden over 4.5 corners sits at 64.4% and Waregem at 47.1%. This season St Truiden have averaged 5.4 corners won a game and Waregem 4.6.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

56.9%Over 9.5 corners
56.5%Most corners: St Truiden
64.4%St Truiden over 4.5 corners
47.1%Waregem over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.9% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderSt Truiden are the pick to win the corner count at 56.5%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 45.1%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
St TruidenSt Truiden

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

WaregemWaregem
Statistic
St Truiden
Waregem
corners won per game
5.4
4.6

corners conceded per game
3.8
5.3

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in St Truiden vs Waregem?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 56.9% for St Truiden vs Waregem.
Which team will win the corner count in St Truiden vs Waregem?
The model rates St Truiden to win the corner count at 56.5%, with a level count at 10.2%.
How many corners do St Truiden and Waregem average this season?
St Truiden have won 5.4 corners a game this season and Waregem 4.6.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Pro LeagueSint-Truiden fixtures and statsWaregem fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.