Pro League
St TruidenSt TruidenLLLLL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1118:15UK
WaregemWaregemLLLLL

Sint-Truiden vs Waregem correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11%
2-1 correct score9.5%
1-0 correct score7.6%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.0%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = St Truiden goals, columns = Waregem goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.0%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.0%
  2. 2-19.5%
  3. 1-07.6%
  4. 2-07.4%
  5. 1-26.8%
  6. 2-26.1%
  7. 3-15.7%
  8. 0-15.3%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5% 5.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.6% 11% 6.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.5% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.5% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: St Truiden · Columns: Waregem

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.0%

0

12.9%

1

22.2%

2

22.3%

3

17.3%

4

18.9%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

St TruidenSt TruidenLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 3-4
L
Loss · 2-3
L
Loss · 1-2

0 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses

WaregemWaregemLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 2-4

0 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

5St TruidenSt Truiden wins
0Draws
0WaregemWaregem wins
2.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
St TruidenSt Truiden
3 – 2
WaregemWaregem
WaregemWaregem
0 – 2
St TruidenSt Truiden
St TruidenSt Truiden
2 – 0
WaregemWaregem
WaregemWaregem
0 – 3
St TruidenSt Truiden
WaregemWaregem
0 – 2
St TruidenSt Truiden

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0102Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,177Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 11.0% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: St Truiden have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded, Waregem 0.4 and 2.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 59.9% for over 2.5 and 82.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.8 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 59.9% for three or more goals and 82.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With St Truiden favoured at 49.1%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

49.1%Favoured: St Truiden
61.1%Both Teams to Score
59.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 59.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSt Truiden are the model’s pick on the result at 49.1%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in St Truiden vs Waregem?
The model's most likely scoreline for St Truiden vs Waregem is 1-1 at 11.0%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.