Pro League
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-HeverleeLDWDD
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1117:15UK
MechelenMechelenDLLDW

Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Mechelen corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined44%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners56.0%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Oud-Heverlee Leuven.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 78.3% 21.7%
8.5 corners 67.7% 32.3%
9.5 corners 56.0% 44.0%
10.5 corners 44.2% 55.8%
11.5 corners 33.2% 66.8%
12.5 corners 23.8% 76.2%

Who wins the corner count

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
49.0%
Level
10.6%
Mechelen
40.4%

Team corners lines

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Over 3.5
74.0%
Over 4.5
58.7%
Over 5.5
43.3%

Mechelen

Over 3.5
68.7%
Over 4.5
52.3%
Over 5.5
36.8%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Oud-Heverlee Leuven's; Mechelen gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven line Oud-Heverlee Leuven Mechelen
-1.5 38.5% 61.5%
-0.5 49.0% 51.0%
+0.5 59.6% 40.4%
+1.5 69.5% 30.5%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 24,029 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 56.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 78.3% for over 7.5 to 23.8% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 44.2%. Head to head on corners, Oud-Heverlee Leuven are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 49.0%, with a level count at 10.6%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Oud-Heverlee Leuven over 4.5 corners sits at 58.7% and Mechelen at 52.3%. This season Oud-Heverlee Leuven have averaged 3.4 corners won a game and Mechelen 4.6.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

56.0%Over 9.5 corners
49.0%Most corners: Oud-Heverlee Leuven
58.7%Oud-Heverlee Leuven over 4.5 corners
52.3%Mechelen over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.0% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderOud-Heverlee Leuven are the pick to win the corner count at 49.0%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 44.2%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-Heverlee

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

MechelenMechelen
Statistic
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Mechelen
corners won per game
3.4
4.6

corners conceded per game
8.4
4.3

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Mechelen?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 56.0% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Mechelen.
Which team will win the corner count in Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Mechelen?
The model rates Oud-Heverlee Leuven to win the corner count at 49.0%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Mechelen average this season?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven have won 3.4 corners a game this season and Mechelen 4.6.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.