Model read
Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.
Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.
Conviction: Lean
Over 9.5 corners56.0%
Corners
Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.
Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Oud-Heverlee Leuven.
Total corners
Both teams combined.
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 78.3% | 21.7% |
| 8.5 corners | 67.7% | 32.3% |
| 9.5 corners | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| 10.5 corners | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| 11.5 corners | 33.2% | 66.8% |
| 12.5 corners | 23.8% | 76.2% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corners lines
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Mechelen
Corner handicap
The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Oud-Heverlee Leuven's; Mechelen gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven line | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| -0.5 | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| +0.5 | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| +1.5 | 69.5% | 30.5% |
Corner trends
2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home and Mechelen away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.
Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 24,029 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 56.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 78.3% for over 7.5 to 23.8% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 44.2%. Head to head on corners, Oud-Heverlee Leuven are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 49.0%, with a level count at 10.6%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.
In-depth analysis
For the team lines, Oud-Heverlee Leuven over 4.5 corners sits at 58.7% and Mechelen at 52.3%. This season Oud-Heverlee Leuven have averaged 3.4 corners won a game and Mechelen 4.6.
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
This season
2026/27 · Recorded results.
Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.
FAQ
How many corners in Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Mechelen?
Which team will win the corner count in Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Mechelen?
How many corners do Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Mechelen average this season?
How is this probability calculated?
Is this a betting tip?
More Pro League, Corners
Related
Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.


