Saint-Etienne 1-0 Nantes correct score: our prediction vs the result
Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.
Result
St Etienne1-0Nantes
Final score 1-0. The model gave that exact scoreline 10.4%.
Model read
No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.
Conviction: Open
Most likely · 11.9%2-0
Correct score
Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.
Rows = St Etienne goals, columns = Nantes goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 11.9%.
The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.
Most likely scorelines
- 2-011.9%
- 1-010.4%
- 2-19.7%
- 1-19.3%
- 3-08.7%
- 3-17.1%
- 0-05.4%
- 4-04.8%
Score probability grid
| H / A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 8.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Rows: St Etienne · Columns: Nantes
Goals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
Form & head-to-head
Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.
Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.
W
L
D
W
W
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
W
L
W
D
L
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head-to-head
No recorded head-to-head results available.
Overall model accuracy
We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Most likely · 11.9% at 2-0, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: St Etienne have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, Nantes 1.0 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 57.8% for over 2.5 and 80.6% for at least two goals. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.
In-depth analysis
On the goals side, the model sees 57.8% for three or more goals and 80.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given St Etienne favoured at 68.5%, they may control possession and keep things tighter.
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
What was the score in St Etienne vs Nantes?
How is this probability calculated?
Is this a betting tip?
More Ligue 2, Correct Score
Related
Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
