Ligue 2
RodezRodezLLLLW
Fri, 30 Oct 202630/1019:00UK
DunkerqueDunkerqueWLLWD

Rodez vs Dunkerque correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11.4%
2-1 correct score8.7%
1-2 correct score8%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.4%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Rodez goals, columns = Dunkerque goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.4%
  2. 2-18.7%
  3. 1-28.0%
  4. 1-06.8%
  5. 2-26.4%
  6. 0-16.2%
  7. 2-05.9%
  8. 0-05.1%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1% 6.2% 5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.8% 11.4% 8% 4% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.2% 4.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Rodez · Columns: Dunkerque

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.1%

0

13.1%

1

22.3%

2

22.4%

3

17.2%

4

18.9%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

RodezRodezLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 3-4
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 2-1

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

DunkerqueDunkerqueLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 3-2
D
Draw · 1-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1RodezRodez wins
3Draws
1DunkerqueDunkerque wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
DunkerqueDunkerque
1 – 1
RodezRodez
RodezRodez
1 – 1
DunkerqueDunkerque
RodezRodez
5 – 1
DunkerqueDunkerque
DunkerqueDunkerque
1 – 0
RodezRodez
RodezRodez
0 – 0
DunkerqueDunkerque

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 11.4% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Rodez have averaged 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded, Dunkerque 1.2 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 59.5% for over 2.5 and 81.8% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 59.5% for three or more goals and 81.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Rodez favoured at 40.3%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

40.3%Favoured: Rodez
62.2%Both Teams to Score
59.5%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 59.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutRodez are the model’s pick on the result at 40.3%, context for how the goals may flow.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Rodez vs Dunkerque?
The model's most likely scoreline for Rodez vs Dunkerque is 1-1 at 11.4%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 2, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.