Primeira Liga
Sp BragaSp BragaWWLWD
Full time1-3Fri, 9 Oct 20269/1020:15UK
Sp LisbonSp LisbonWWWDD

Sp Braga 1-3 Sporting CP both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes57.4%
Both teams to score: No42.6%

Result

Sp Braga1-3Sp Lisbon
1 goals before half-timeSp Braga 1, Sp Lisbon 0
YesYes

We called Yes at 57.4% and it landed. We called Yes at 71.5% and it landed (1 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes57.4%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean57.4%
No42.6%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 54.7%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Sp Braga scored
1.0
Sp Braga conceded
0.6
Sp Lisbon scored
2.4
Sp Lisbon conceded
0.8

Each team to score

Sp Braga to score70.3%
Sp Braga 2+ goals34.3%
Sp Lisbon to score80.8%
Sp Lisbon 2+ goals49.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half18.8%
Both score in 2nd half31.8%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.3%

0

15.2%

1

23.9%

2

22.3%

3

16.0%

4

15.5%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Sp BragaBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5
Sp LisbonBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Sp BragaSp BragaLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 0-0

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Sp LisbonSp LisbonLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 4-0
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 2-2

3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Sp BragaSp Braga wins
3Draws
2Sp LisbonSp Lisbon wins
3.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Sp BragaSp Braga
2 – 2
Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
1 – 1
Sp BragaSp Braga
Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
1 – 1
Sp BragaSp Braga
Sp BragaSp Braga
2 – 4
Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
5 – 0
Sp BragaSp Braga

Match outlook

Sp Braga27.5%
Draw25.4%
PickSp Lisbon47.0%

The model leans Sp Lisbon to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 34,661 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 57.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Sp Braga have averaged 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded, Sp Lisbon 2.4 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.7% for over 2.5 and 78.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.8 goals a game. Sp Braga have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Sp Lisbon in 3 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 54.7% for three or more goals and 78.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Sp Lisbon favoured at 47.0%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

47.0%Favoured: Sp Lisbon
57.4%Both Teams to Score
54.7%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 57.4% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 54.7% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSp Lisbon are the model’s pick on the result at 47.0%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Sp BragaSp Braga

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
Statistic
Sp Braga
Sp Lisbon
BTTS rate
50.0%
71.4%

clean sheets
50.0%
28.6%

goals scored per game
1.1
2.4

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Sp Braga vs Sp Lisbon?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 57.4%. Both teams scored, final score 1-3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Primeira Liga, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.