Primeira Liga
Casa PiaCasa PiaDLWLW
Fri, 30 Oct 202630/1020:15UK
Sp LisbonSp LisbonWDDWL

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No53.8%
Both teams to score: Yes46.2%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No53.8%

Both Teams to Score

Yes46.2%
NoModel lean53.8%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 58.3%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Casa Pia scored
1.0
Casa Pia conceded
1.2
Sp Lisbon scored
1.8
Sp Lisbon conceded
1.2

Each team to score

Casa Pia to score50.8%
Casa Pia 2+ goals15.9%
Sp Lisbon to score90.1%
Sp Lisbon 2+ goals67.3%

By half

Both score in 1st half15.5%
Both score in 2nd half27.8%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.3%

0

13.9%

1

22.6%

2

22.4%

3

17.0%

4

15.8%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Casa PiaBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5
Sp LisbonBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Casa PiaCasa PiaLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 1-4
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 2-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Sp LisbonSp LisbonLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 1-2

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Casa PiaCasa Pia wins
0Draws
5Sp LisbonSp Lisbon wins
3.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
3 – 0
Casa PiaCasa Pia
Casa PiaCasa Pia
0 – 2
Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
Casa PiaCasa Pia
1 – 3
Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
2 – 0
Casa PiaCasa Pia
Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
8 – 0
Casa PiaCasa Pia

Match outlook

Casa Pia9.3%
Draw17.5%
PickSp Lisbon73.1%

The model leans Sp Lisbon to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 26,174 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · No at 53.8%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Casa Pia have averaged 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded, Sp Lisbon 1.8 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 58.3% for over 2.5 and 80.9% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.8 goals a game. Casa Pia have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Sp Lisbon in 4 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 58.3% for three or more goals and 80.9% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Sp Lisbon favoured at 73.1%, the scoreline often hinges on whether the favourite is made to chase.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

73.1%Favoured: Sp Lisbon
46.2%Both Teams to Score
58.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 53.8% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 58.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSp Lisbon are the model’s pick on the result at 73.1%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Casa PiaCasa Pia

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Sp LisbonSp Lisbon
Statistic
Casa Pia
Sp Lisbon
BTTS rate
22.2%
77.8%

clean sheets
22.2%
22.2%

goals scored per game
0.6
2.3

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Casa Pia vs Sp Lisbon?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 46.2% for Casa Pia vs Sp Lisbon.
Will Casa Pia score against Sp Lisbon?
The model rates Casa Pia to score at 50.8% and Sp Lisbon to score at 90.1%.
How often have Casa Pia seen both teams score recently?
Casa Pia have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Sp Lisbon in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Primeira Liga, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.