AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 13 Oct 2026

League Two
SalfordSalfordWWDWW
Full time1-0Sat, 3 Oct 20263/1015:00UK
Fleetwood TownFleetwood TownDWDLL

Salford 1-0 Fleetwood Town corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined53.7%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined46.4%

Result

Salford1-0Fleetwood Town
14 cornersSalford 11, Fleetwood Town 3
Over 9.5

We called Over 9.5 at 53.7% and it landed (14 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners53.7%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Salford.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 76.0% 24.0%
8.5 corners 65.2% 34.8%
9.5 corners 53.7% 46.4%
10.5 corners 42.2% 57.8%
11.5 corners 31.8% 68.2%
12.5 corners 22.9% 77.1%

Who wins the corner count

Salford
59.4%
Level
10.1%
Fleetwood Town
30.5%

Team corners lines

Salford

Over 3.5
78.0%
Over 4.5
64.1%
Over 5.5
49.4%

Fleetwood Town

Over 3.5
59.5%
Over 4.5
42.4%
Over 5.5
27.8%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Salford's; Fleetwood Town gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Salford line Salford Fleetwood Town
-3.5 28.6% 71.4%
-1.5 48.7% 51.3%
-0.5 59.4% 40.6%
+0.5 69.5% 30.5%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 53.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 76.0% for over 7.5 to 22.9% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 53.7%. Head to head on corners, Salford are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 59.4%, with a level count at 10.1%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Salford over 4.5 corners sits at 64.1% and Fleetwood Town at 42.4%. This season Salford have averaged 6.1 corners won a game and Fleetwood Town 5.0.

53.7%Over 9.5 corners
59.4%Most corners: Salford
64.1%Salford over 4.5 corners
42.4%Fleetwood Town over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 53.7% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderSalford are the pick to win the corner count at 59.4%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 53.7%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
SalfordSalford

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
Statistic
Salford
Fleetwood Town
corners won per game
6.1
5.0

corners conceded per game
4.8
5.1

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Salford vs Fleetwood Town?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 53.7% for Salford vs Fleetwood Town.
Which team will win the corner count in Salford vs Fleetwood Town?
Before kickoff, the model rated Salford to win the corner count at 59.4%, with a level count at 10.1%.
How many corners do Salford and Fleetwood Town average this season?
Salford have won 6.1 corners a game this season and Fleetwood Town 5.0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

League TwoSalford fixtures and statsFleetwood Town fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.