AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 3 Nov 2026

Segunda División
SabadellSabadellDWLDL
Mon, 9 Nov 20269/1119:30UK
Sociedad BSociedad BLLLLW

Sabadell vs Sociedad B corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined52.5%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined47.5%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners47.5%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Sabadell.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 71.8% 28.2%
8.5 corners 59.8% 40.2%
9.5 corners 47.5% 52.5%
10.5 corners 35.8% 64.2%
11.5 corners 25.7% 74.4%
12.5 corners 17.5% 82.5%

Who wins the corner count

Sabadell
58.6%
Level
10.6%
Sociedad B
30.8%

Team corners lines

Sabadell

Over 3.5
75.2%
Over 4.5
60.1%
Over 5.5
44.7%

Sociedad B

Over 3.5
56.4%
Over 4.5
38.8%
Over 5.5
24.4%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Sabadell's; Sociedad B gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Sabadell line Sabadell Sociedad B
-3.5 26.7% 73.3%
-1.5 47.4% 52.6%
-0.5 58.6% 41.4%
+0.5 69.2% 30.8%
SabadellSabadell

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Sabadell at home and Sociedad B away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Sociedad BSociedad B
Statistic
Sabadell
Sociedad B
Corners won per game at this venue
5.4
5.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
2.6
5.8

First-half corners won per game
2.5
1.8

Second-half corners won per game
2.8
2.8

Matches with more corners than the opponent
58.3%
41.7%

Matches with corner data
12
12

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0097Calibration error
51,092Matches graded

In 22,010 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 3 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 54.2%✗ 52.9%✓ 60.9%✗ 54.6%✗ 52.1%✗ 50.1%✓ 57.5%✓ 57.1%✓ 63.9%✓ 62.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Newcastle vs Everton2026-11-02Over 9.5 54.2%Miss
La Coruna vs Osasuna2026-11-02Under 9.5 52.9%Miss
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina2026-11-02Under 9.5 60.9%Hit
Atalanta vs Parma2026-11-02Under 9.5 54.6%Miss
Lorient vs Brest2026-11-02Under 9.5 52.1%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 47.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 71.8% for over 7.5 to 17.5% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.5%. Between the two sides, Sabadell are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 58.6%, with a level count at 10.6%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Sabadell over 4.5 corners sits at 60.1% and Sociedad B at 38.8%. This season Sabadell have averaged 5.3 corners won a game and Sociedad B 4.7.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

47.5%Over 9.5 corners
58.6%Most corners: Sabadell
60.1%Sabadell over 4.5 corners
38.8%Sociedad B over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 47.5% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderSabadell are the pick to win the corner count at 58.6%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 47.5%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
SabadellSabadell

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Sociedad BSociedad B
Statistic
Sabadell
Sociedad B
corners won per game
5.3
4.7

corners conceded per game
3.7
4.9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Sabadell vs Sociedad B?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 47.5% for Sabadell vs Sociedad B.
Which team will win the corner count in Sabadell vs Sociedad B?
The model rates Sabadell to win the corner count at 58.6%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Sabadell and Sociedad B average this season?
Sabadell have won 5.3 corners a game this season and Sociedad B 4.7.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Segunda DivisiónSabadell fixtures and statsSociedad B fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.