AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Segunda División
LeganesLeganesLLLLD
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1117:30UK
AlbaceteAlbaceteLLLWW

Leganes vs Albacete corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined50.2%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined49.9%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners49.9%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Leganes.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 73.7% 26.3%
8.5 corners 62.1% 37.9%
9.5 corners 49.9% 50.1%
10.5 corners 38.1% 61.9%
11.5 corners 27.7% 72.4%
12.5 corners 19.1% 80.9%

Who wins the corner count

Leganes
53.8%
Level
10.8%
Albacete
35.4%

Team corners lines

Leganes

Over 3.5
73.7%
Over 4.5
58.3%
Over 5.5
42.9%

Albacete

Over 3.5
61.7%
Over 4.5
44.3%
Over 5.5
29.3%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Leganes's; Albacete gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Leganes line Leganes Albacete
-1.5 42.8% 57.2%
-0.5 53.8% 46.2%
+0.5 64.6% 35.4%
+1.5 74.4% 25.7%
LeganesLeganes

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Leganes at home and Albacete away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

AlbaceteAlbacete
Statistic
Leganes
Albacete
Corners won per game at this venue
3.5
4.8

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.8
4.5

First-half corners won per game
2.0
2.4

Second-half corners won per game
1.0
2.8

Matches with more corners than the opponent
22.2%
70.0%

Matches with corner data
9
10

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 21,935 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 49.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 73.7% for over 7.5 to 19.1% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.9%. Head to head on corners, Leganes are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.8%, with a level count at 10.8%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Leganes over 4.5 corners sits at 58.3% and Albacete at 44.3%. This season Leganes have averaged 3.0 corners won a game and Albacete 5.2.

49.9%Over 9.5 corners
53.8%Most corners: Leganes
58.3%Leganes over 4.5 corners
44.3%Albacete over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 49.9% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderLeganes are the pick to win the corner count at 53.8%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 49.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
LeganesLeganes

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AlbaceteAlbacete
Statistic
Leganes
Albacete
corners won per game
3.0
5.2

corners conceded per game
6.3
4.1

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Leganes vs Albacete?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 49.9% for Leganes vs Albacete.
Which team will win the corner count in Leganes vs Albacete?
The model rates Leganes to win the corner count at 53.8%, with a level count at 10.8%.
How many corners do Leganes and Albacete average this season?
Leganes have won 3.0 corners a game this season and Albacete 5.2.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Segunda DivisiónLeganes fixtures and statsAlbacete fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.