League Two
RochdaleRochdaleWLDWW
Full time1-0Sat, 3 Oct 20263/1015:00UK
SwindonSwindonWWLLD

Rochdale 1-0 Swindon both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes54.8%
Both teams to score: No45.2%

Result

Rochdale1-0Swindon
0 goals before half-timeRochdale 0, Swindon 0
YesYes

We called Yes at 54.8% and it missed. We called Yes at 72.8% and it missed (0 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes54.8%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean54.8%
No45.2%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 50.2%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Rochdale scored
1.6
Rochdale conceded
1.0
Swindon scored
1.4
Swindon conceded
1.6

Each team to score

Rochdale to score70.6%
Rochdale 2+ goals34.6%
Swindon to score76.7%
Swindon 2+ goals42.7%

By half

Both score in 1st half21.9%
Both score in 2nd half25.3%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.5%

0

17.1%

1

25.2%

2

22.0%

3

14.7%

4

12.9%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

RochdaleBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5
SwindonBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

RochdaleRochdaleLast 5
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 1-4
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 2-1

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

SwindonSwindonLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 0-4
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 1-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0RochdaleRochdale wins
3Draws
1SwindonSwindon wins
3.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
RochdaleRochdale
4 – 4
SwindonSwindon
SwindonSwindon
3 – 0
RochdaleRochdale
RochdaleRochdale
0 – 0
SwindonSwindon
SwindonSwindon
2 – 2
RochdaleRochdale

Match outlook

Rochdale31.2%
Draw26.9%
PickSwindon41.9%

The model leans Swindon to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 34,661 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 54.8%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Rochdale have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded, Swindon 1.4 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 50.2% for over 2.5 and 75.4% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 3.8 goals a game. Rochdale have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Swindon in 3 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 50.2% for three or more goals and 75.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Swindon favoured at 41.9%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

41.9%Favoured: Swindon
54.8%Both Teams to Score
50.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 54.8% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 50.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSwindon are the model’s pick on the result at 41.9%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
RochdaleRochdale

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

SwindonSwindon
Statistic
Rochdale
Swindon
BTTS rate
33.3%
55.6%

clean sheets
44.4%
11.1%

goals scored per game
1.2
1.1

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Rochdale vs Swindon?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 54.8%. Both teams did not both score, final score 1-0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.