AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 15 Oct 2026

Championship
PortsmouthPortsmouthLWDDL
Full time3-2Wed, 14 Oct 202614/1019:45UK
Sheffield UnitedSheff UtdLWLLW

Portsmouth 3-2 Sheffield United corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined61.3%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined38.7%

Result

Portsmouth3-2Sheffield United
16 cornersPortsmouth 10, Sheffield United 6
Over 9.5

We called Over 9.5 at 61.3% and it landed (16 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners61.3%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Portsmouth.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 81.8% 18.2%
8.5 corners 72.3% 27.7%
9.5 corners 61.3% 38.7%
10.5 corners 49.8% 50.2%
11.5 corners 38.7% 61.3%
12.5 corners 28.7% 71.3%

Who wins the corner count

Portsmouth
60.5%
Level
9.7%
Sheffield United
29.8%

Team corners lines

Portsmouth

Over 3.5
82.2%
Over 4.5
69.5%
Over 5.5
55.2%

Sheffield United

Over 3.5
64.0%
Over 4.5
46.9%
Over 5.5
31.7%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Portsmouth's; Sheffield United gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Portsmouth line Portsmouth Sheffield United
-3.5 30.4% 69.6%
-1.5 50.2% 49.8%
-0.5 60.5% 39.5%
+0.5 70.2% 29.8%
PortsmouthPortsmouth

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Portsmouth at home and Sheffield United away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
Statistic
Portsmouth
Sheffield United
Corners won per game at this venue
7.8
2.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
4.8
8.5

Matches with corner data
8
9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 1,506 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Corners actually happened 62.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 61.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 81.8% for over 7.5 to 28.7% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.8%. Head to head on corners, Portsmouth are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 60.5%, with a level count at 9.7%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Portsmouth over 4.5 corners sits at 69.5% and Sheffield United at 46.9%. This season Portsmouth have averaged 6.6 corners won a game and Sheffield United 2.8.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

61.3%Over 9.5 corners
60.5%Most corners: Portsmouth
69.5%Portsmouth over 4.5 corners
46.9%Sheffield United over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 61.3% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderPortsmouth are the pick to win the corner count at 60.5%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 49.8%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 10.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
PortsmouthPortsmouth

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
Statistic
Portsmouth
Sheffield United
corners won per game
6.6
2.8

corners conceded per game
4.9
6.9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Portsmouth vs Sheffield United?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 61.3% for Portsmouth vs Sheffield United.
Which team will win the corner count in Portsmouth vs Sheffield United?
Before kickoff, the model rated Portsmouth to win the corner count at 60.5%, with a level count at 9.7%.
How many corners do Portsmouth and Sheffield United average this season?
Portsmouth have won 6.6 corners a game this season and Sheffield United 2.8.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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ChampionshipPortsmouth fixtures and statsSheffield United fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.