Premier League
Nottingham ForestNott'm ForestDDWLL
Full time0-1Sun, 18 Oct 202618/1016:30UK10°C · Rain
ArsenalArsenalWWWLW

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No50.8%
Both teams to score: Yes49.2%

Result

Nottingham Forest0-1Arsenal
No

We called No at 50.8% and it landed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No50.8%

Both Teams to Score

Yes49.2%
NoModel lean50.8%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 45.1%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Nottingham Forest scored
1.0
Nottingham Forest conceded
1.4
Arsenal scored
1.4
Arsenal conceded
1.0

Each team to score

Nottingham Forest to score62.6%
Nottingham Forest 2+ goals25.8%
Arsenal to score77.6%
Arsenal 2+ goals44.1%

By half

Both score in 1st half14.7%
Both score in 2nd half23.8%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.0%

0

19.6%

1

26.3%

2

21.3%

3

13.2%

4

10.2%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Nottingham ForestBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5
ArsenalBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Nottingham ForestNott'm ForestLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 1-3

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

ArsenalArsenalLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 2-1

4 wins · 0 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest wins
2Draws
3ArsenalArsenal wins
1.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest
0 – 0
ArsenalArsenal
ArsenalArsenal
3 – 0
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest
0 – 0
ArsenalArsenal
ArsenalArsenal
3 – 0
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest
1 – 2
ArsenalArsenal

Match outlook

Nottingham Forest23.9%
Draw27.5%
PickArsenal48.6%

The model leans Arsenal to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 26,174 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · No at 50.8%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Nottingham Forest have averaged 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded, Arsenal 1.4 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 45.1% for over 2.5 and 71.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.8 goals a game. Nottingham Forest have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Arsenal in 2 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 45.1% for three or more goals and 71.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Arsenal favoured at 48.6%, a competitive game tends to open up.

48.6%Favoured: Arsenal
49.2%Both Teams to Score
45.1%Over 2.5 goals

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 50.8% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 45.1% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutArsenal are the model’s pick on the result at 48.6%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

ArsenalArsenal
Statistic
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
BTTS rate
50.0%
33.3%

clean sheets
16.7%
50.0%

goals scored per game
0.8
1.7

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest (1)
Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
29.4%
3.40
1+ shot on target
56.9%
1.76
2+ shots
51.3%
1.95
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.37
On target1.16
Goals0.48
ArsenalArsenal (1)
Bukayo Saka
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
22.4%
4.46
1+ shot on target
57.6%
1.74
2+ shots
68.4%
1.46
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.98
On target1.08
Goals0.32

FAQ

Did both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 49.2%. Both teams did not both score, final score 0-1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Premier League, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.