Serie A
NapoliNapoliWLDWL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1111:30UK19°C · Cloudy
LazioLazioWWWWW

Napoli vs Lazio both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes50.9%
Both teams to score: No49.1%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes50.9%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean50.9%
No49.1%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 45.5%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Napoli scored
2.0
Napoli conceded
1.4
Lazio scored
3.2
Lazio conceded
1.0

Each team to score

Napoli to score74.4%
Napoli 2+ goals39.5%
Lazio to score67.6%
Lazio 2+ goals31.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half16.2%
Both score in 2nd half27.5%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.9%

0

19.3%

1

26.3%

2

21.3%

3

13.3%

4

10.5%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

NapoliBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5
LazioBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 5/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

NapoliNapoliLast 5
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 3-3
W
Win · 4-1
L
Loss · 0-2

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

LazioLazioLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 6-2
W
Win · 2-1

5 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1NapoliNapoli wins
2Draws
2LazioLazio wins
1.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
NapoliNapoli
0 – 2
LazioLazio
LazioLazio
0 – 2
NapoliNapoli
LazioLazio
2 – 2
NapoliNapoli
NapoliNapoli
0 – 1
LazioLazio
LazioLazio
0 – 0
NapoliNapoli

Match outlook

PickNapoli41.9%
Draw27.7%
Lazio30.4%

The model leans Napoli to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0219Calibration error
72,415Matches graded

In 34,758 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 54.7%✓ 59.8%✓ 60.9%✗ 61.4%✗ 53.7%✗ 53.8%✓ 55.2%✓ 55.0%✗ 51.7%✗ 52.1%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Yes 54.7%Miss
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Yes 59.8%Hit
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Yes 60.9%Hit
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01No 61.4%Miss
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Yes 53.7%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 50.9%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Napoli have averaged 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded, Lazio 3.2 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 45.5% for over 2.5 and 71.8% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.8 goals a game. Napoli have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Lazio in 4 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 45.5% for three or more goals and 71.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Napoli favoured at 41.9%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

41.9%Favoured: Napoli
50.9%Both Teams to Score
45.5%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 50.9% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 45.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutNapoli are the model’s pick on the result at 41.9%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
NapoliNapoli

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

LazioLazio
Statistic
Napoli
Lazio
BTTS rate
50.0%
60.0%

clean sheets
30.0%
40.0%

goals scored per game
1.7
2.4

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

NapoliNapoli (1)
Alisson Santos
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
19.8%
5.05
1+ shot on target
65.2%
1.53
2+ shots
68.9%
1.45
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.69
On target1.63
Goals0.34
LazioLazio (1)
Gustav Isaksen
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
16.5%
6.06
1+ shot on target
48.0%
2.08
2+ shots
50.7%
1.97
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.65
On target1.02
Goals0.28

FAQ

Will both teams score in Napoli vs Lazio?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 50.9% for Napoli vs Lazio.
Will Napoli score against Lazio?
The model rates Napoli to score at 74.4% and Lazio to score at 67.6%.
How often have Napoli seen both teams score recently?
Napoli have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Lazio in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Serie A, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.