Ligue 1
Lens vs 
Lyon Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 59.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Lens have averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded, Lyon 1.2 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 57.2% for over 2.5 and 80.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. Lens have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Lyon in 2 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
2.4
1.4
1.2
1.2
Each team to score
By half
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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1
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5+
In-depth analysis
59.2%Both Teams to Score57.2%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 57.2% for three or more goals and 80.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Lens favoured at 48.6%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Lens to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Lens 3 · 1 draws · Lyon 1 · 2.2 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Lens vs Lyon?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 59.2% for Lens vs Lyon.
Will Lens score against Lyon?
The model rates Lens to score at 82.1% and Lyon to score at 71.5%.
How often have Lens seen both teams score recently?
Lens have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Lyon in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 26,670 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 17 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Ligue 1, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
