Ligue 1
LensLensWLLDL
Full time2-1Fri, 9 Oct 20269/1019:45UK
LyonLyonWDWDW

Lens 2-1 Lyon both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes59.9%
Both teams to score: No40.1%

Result

Lens2-1Lyon
1 goals before half-timeLens 1, Lyon 0
YesYes

We called Yes at 59.9% and it landed. We called Yes at 70.9% and it landed (1 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes59.9%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean59.9%
No40.1%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 57.6%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Lens scored
1.8
Lens conceded
1.8
Lyon scored
2.0
Lyon conceded
0.4

Each team to score

Lens to score81.3%
Lens 2+ goals50.1%
Lyon to score73.1%
Lyon 2+ goals37.8%

By half

Both score in 1st half21.0%
Both score in 2nd half32.2%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.6%

0

13.9%

1

23.0%

2

22.4%

3

16.8%

4

17.4%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

LensBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5
LyonBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

LensLensLast 5
W
Win · 5-2
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

LyonLyonLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 4-0

3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3LensLens wins
1Draws
1LyonLyon wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
LyonLyon
0 – 4
LensLens
LensLens
0 – 1
LyonLyon
LyonLyon
1 – 2
LensLens
LensLens
0 – 0
LyonLyon
LyonLyon
0 – 3
LensLens

Match outlook

PickLens47.0%
Draw24.2%
Lyon28.8%

The model leans Lens to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,454Matches graded

In 34,781 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 6 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 50.2%✓ 56.4%✗ 57.9%✓ 53.5%✗ 54.4%✓ 52.3%✓ 55.2%✓ 53.9%
7 of 10 recent calls hit.
Cardiff vs West Ham2026-11-04Yes 50.7%Hit
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough2026-11-04Yes 58.3%Miss
Bristol City vs Wolves2026-11-04Yes 50.2%Hit
Kortrijk vs Mechelen2026-11-04Yes 56.4%Hit
Blackburn vs Stoke2026-11-03No 57.9%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 59.9%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Lens have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded, Lyon 2.0 and 0.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 57.6% for over 2.5 and 80.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. Lens have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Lyon in 2 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 57.6% for three or more goals and 80.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Lens favoured at 47.0%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

47.0%Favoured: Lens
59.9%Both Teams to Score
57.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 59.9% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 57.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutLens are the model’s pick on the result at 47.0%, a lean on probability, never on price.
LensLens

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

LyonLyon
Statistic
Lens
Lyon
BTTS rate
80.0%
40.0%

clean sheets
0.0%
60.0%

goals scored per game
1.8
2.0

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

LensLens (1)
Odsonne Edouard
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
29.0%
3.45
1+ shot on target
58.8%
1.70
2+ shots
53.6%
1.87
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.84
On target1.40
Goals0.54
LyonLyon (1)
Ernest Nuamah
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
20.4%
4.90
1+ shot on target
49.9%
2.00
2+ shots
44.1%
2.27
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.82
On target1.30
Goals0.43

FAQ

Did both teams score in Lens vs Lyon?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 59.9%. Both teams scored, final score 2-1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

All both teams to score predictions

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.